Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe641f29d2611ab0cfd0d37fa44634545573d2aa4313e5c1172c5502e3fc77e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Army Black Knightsof Army Black Knights, Bucknell Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bucknell Bison | 67c | 1,600$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Army Black Knights | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Army Black Knights | 33c | 1,085$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.42 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Bucknell Bison | 2c | 900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Bucknell Bison | 68c | 740$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Bucknell Bison | 67c | 687.25$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.99 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucknell Bison | 57c | 681.06$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.92 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Army Black Knights | 35c | 640.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.47 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Army Black Knights | 28c | 521.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.43 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucknell Bison | 73c | 515.22$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bucknell Bison | 19c | 501.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Army Black Knights | 26c | 485$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.64 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…5c71backed Army Black Knights | 70c | 429.63$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucknell Bison | 35c | 415.94$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Army Black Knights | 74c | 408.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucknell Bison | 27c | 389.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Army Black Knights | 64c | 365.78$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Army Black Knights | 33c | 338$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.46 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Army Black Knights | 31c | 334.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.83 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Army Black Knights | 44c | 330.63$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Army Black Knights | 52c | 316.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Bucknell Bison | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Army Black Knights | 53c | 292.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Bucknell Bison | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucknell Bison | 53c | 284.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Army Black Knights | 26c | 282$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Army Black Knights | 32c | 240.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Bucknell Bison | 56c | 216.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc44…5309backed Army Black Knights | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Bucknell Bison | 8c | 181.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bucknell Bison | 31c | 176$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Bucknell Bison | 60c | 167.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Army Black Knights | 52c | 164.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Army Black Knights | 60c | 163.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Bucknell Bison | 26c | 151.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucknell Bison | 68c | 149$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc802…3570backed Army Black Knights | 73c | 145.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad66…a97fbacked Army Black Knights | 26c | 138.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Bucknell Bison | 64c | 128$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Army Black Knights | 32c | 124.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Army Black Knights | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Bucknell Bison | 68c | 120.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Army Black Knights | 24c | 115.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe213…e4aabacked Army Black Knights | 65c | 113.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bucknell Bison | 58c | 110.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Bucknell Bison | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucknell Bison | 49c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Army Black Knights | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Army Black Knights | 33c | 94.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Bucknell Bison | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Bucknell Bison | 28c | 75.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Army Black Knights | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucknell Bison | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…e867backed Army Black Knights | 38c | 53.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Army Black Knights | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Army Black Knights | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Bucknell Bison | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Army Black Knights | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Army Black Knights | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a6…6a14backed Bucknell Bison | 66c | 30.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Army Black Knights | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…2ce2backed Bucknell Bison | 70c | 26.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucknell Bison | 45c | 24.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…cd17backed Bucknell Bison | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…8167backed Bucknell Bison | 72c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Bucknell Bison | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bisonthis page
- Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)Army Black Knights won
- Spread: Bucknell Bison (-6.5)Army Black Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.