Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $150 January 12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e5329ac1a200d08fccd19a27ac333f76c51eac0f8badc593cb56db5ff1323c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60c1…01ccbacked Yes | 39c | 13,790$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,373.28 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 51c | 10,288$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.38 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 7,069$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 32c | 3,371$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.58 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 14c | 3,056$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 24c | 2,966$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.6 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…febfbacked Yes | 24c | 2,501$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +399.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…42cebacked No | 74c | 2,339$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.81 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,396$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.73 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 1,169$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 10c | 942.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 18c | 871.97$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.65 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed No | 48c | 642.54$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 57c | 621$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeba…cbcdbacked Yes | 46c | 406.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fe…d4e9backed Yes | 26c | 348.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 317.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 16c | 314.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 312.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.35 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 9c | 298.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 13c | 284.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 76c | 211.7$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 24c | 209.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 24c | 208.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 21c | 204.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…0f70backed Yes | 43c | 199.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 27c | 194.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…c3aabacked Yes | 65c | 183.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69e…e7e9backed Yes | 75c | 170.53$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…70ebbacked No | 63c | 157.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…2aa5backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfd…ee1abacked Yes | 41c | 126.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…ed02backed No | 80c | 123.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…d612backed Yes | 56c | 114.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…3186backed Yes | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 99.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 11c | 97.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x541d…b680backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…b26dbacked No | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…0ea5backed Yes | 33c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…5513backed Yes | 15c | 71.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked Yes | 28c | 70.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…909dbacked Yes | 23c | 69.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d267backed Yes | 33c | 56.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…04d2backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 70c | 46.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ed…1db7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…5a51backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…8444backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…3a79backed No | 74c | 30.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…0415backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…a5e8backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Yes | 47c | 26.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…af64backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…cd4dbacked Yes | 47c | 25.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…44efbacked Yes | 58c | 25.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…f5d1backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ef…bc04backed No | 79c | 18.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…3bb7backed Yes | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…5137backed No | 69c | 17.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $150 January 12-18?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 January 12-18?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 January 12-18?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 January 12-18?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 January 12-18?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $70 January 12-18?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 January 12-18?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 January 12-18?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 January 12-18?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 January 12-18?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 January 12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.