TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Hoosiersof Indiana Hoosiers, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,065,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,614,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,065,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1af1…0f7bbacked Indiana Hoosiers56c1,003,674$560,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443,007.072138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c450,000$198,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197,999.9669142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c141,606$62,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,306.514454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c98,309$43,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,256.182653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c96,682$43,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,523.948246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c90,015$39,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,806.7530249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c40,000$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,599.994339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c37,776$16,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,621.4410045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0001850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c14,000$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,16090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights43c8,777$3,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,774.1121754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c7,777$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,421.8813154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6405160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c5,005$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.2512054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c2,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8801752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Indiana Hoosiers52c1,067$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.357248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c1,052$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.847234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c916.71$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Hoosiers63c657.42$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.985,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c557$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.394,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c438$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.18747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x892f…820ebacked Indiana Hoosiers52c392.25$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.541625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c366.04$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.389543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Indiana Hoosiers56c360$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c327.25$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0875447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Indiana Hoosiers56c299$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5629442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Indiana Hoosiers56c279.62$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0917661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Indiana Hoosiers53c252.87$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Indiana Hoosiers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c163.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0612341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Indiana Hoosiers52c138.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4636535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5b…afe2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights16c129.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c129.35$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.395151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c122.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.18750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights50c121.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.614,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c109.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.242040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec71…70ebbacked Indiana Hoosiers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914654.1%79 W · 67 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c88.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Indiana Hoosiers51c87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.633154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe017…52c8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c83.87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d5…5872backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c77.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c60.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0957335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c55.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Indiana Hoosiers70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.534952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Indiana Hoosiers50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights40c47.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.914535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a92…ebe3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.451450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c8…6354backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c44.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.825436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c41.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.657251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c40.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.355339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6270…2a87backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c32.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8819653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abc…935ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c30.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.941050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c30.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Indiana Hoosiers50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c28.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310058%58 W · 42 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcbb…fd36backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c28.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Indiana Hoosiers51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.729355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Indiana Hoosiers55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.616952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c26.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.631637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.252128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Indiana Hoosiers56c24.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0417943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1190…2f25backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c22.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1315…d32ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…9e5bbacked Indiana Hoosiers56c20.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.