Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a19dcafb5804c2807be2a94671d2e66e8da89837085a783e56a123c2e51964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 57c | 7,029$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.98 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 2,099$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.48 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 48c | 2,028$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.29 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 1,313$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,010$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 56c | 888$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.66 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 43c | 750$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 48c | 566.51$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 46c | 278.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 77c | 234.93$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 45c | 204.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 35c | 104.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 103.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 60.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 29c | 55.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over | 46c | 50.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Over | 75c | 43.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Under | 55c | 41.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +157.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 40.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Over | 45c | 24.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Over | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Over | 52c | 22.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 148.5this page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsIndiana Hoosiers won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 146.5Under won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-5.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-7.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-8.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.