Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x949a6ca96b1a73026481ead597b20fe04827c00a64d2b2bd27618bd3d321a308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Hoosiersof Indiana Hoosiers, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 7,852$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.57 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 3,917$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.73 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Indiana Hoosiers | 52c | 2,438$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.89 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 2,250$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.61 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 2,033$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 2,025$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 1,876$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 33c | 1,380$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 58c | 934.76$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.25 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 46c | 750$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 658.73$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.93 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…3ff7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 52c | 376.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 28c | 350.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Indiana Hoosiers | 61c | 229.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 149$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 35c | 119.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 59c | 118.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 65c | 98.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Indiana Hoosiers | 62c | 91.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 64c | 85.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Indiana Hoosiers | 66c | 75.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Indiana Hoosiers | 62c | 55.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 41.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana Hoosiers | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 28.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…298cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 62c | 19.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 68c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 66c | 17.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-7.5)this page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsIndiana Hoosiers won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 146.5Under won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 147.5Under won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-5.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-8.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.