Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90253f12add9011c8f8bef14cbaaf35424b80516266e2f890083e02c47c1818a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Hoosiersof Indiana Hoosiers, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf348…e543backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 0c | 83,200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 10c | 28,802$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.5 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 26c | 7,090$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.39 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 3,956$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.93 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 2c | 3,939$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 10c | 2,014$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 25c | 1,580$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.62 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Indiana Hoosiers | 74c | 1,530$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.83 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…58c6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 4c | 1,344$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 77c | 1,009$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.17 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 24c | 1,004$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 25c | 799.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 25c | 767.31$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 10c | 681.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 15c | 643.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 16c | 617.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 10c | 503.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 460.55$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Indiana Hoosiers | 75c | 412.72$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 20c | 403.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 26c | 384$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 19c | 318.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 26c | 315.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 27c | 315.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 296$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 14c | 233.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 74c | 228$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 77c | 214.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 73c | 158$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 152.63$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 13c | 149.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Indiana Hoosiers | 74c | 117$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 26c | 116$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 23c | 115.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 72c | 108$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 11c | 106.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 10c | 104.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 25c | 94.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 27c | 60.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…b8c9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Indiana Hoosiers | 74c | 49.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Indiana Hoosiers | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Indiana Hoosiers | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Indiana Hoosiers | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25f…c7a1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 74c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…61dabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 13.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsthis page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 146.5Under won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 147.5Under won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-5.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-7.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-8.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.