UFC · resolved market

UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb64f281f7ee2122514610639666e7ed7591783ab86ef6db8cd50098cfda888b4

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Millerof Fugitt, Miller
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $374,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $453,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,400 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1433…56a0backed Fugitt	21c	45,820$9,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,403.92	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Miller	80c	42,043$33,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,497.55	145	58.6%85 W · 60 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Fugitt	17c	31,342$5,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,240.74	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Miller	80c	30,000$24,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Fugitt	19c	26,189$5,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,019.53	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Fugitt	18c	22,484$4,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,012.38	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Fugitt	17c	20,000$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fugitt	19c	17,767$3,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,342.02	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Fugitt	17c	17,131$2,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,912.33	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Fugitt	18c	11,800$2,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,143.98	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Fugitt	20c	9,890$1,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,978.04	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Fugitt	19c	6,184$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.56	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Fugitt	19c	6,175$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.25	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Fugitt	17c	5,287$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.72	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8d…4537backed Miller	80c	5,250$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Miller	80c	4,444$3,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.8	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Fugitt	18c	4,189$744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.43	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Fugitt	19c	3,851$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.69	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dd…f5c9backed Miller	79c	3,800$3,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85fc…47c8backed Miller	79c	3,799$3,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Fugitt	17c	3,779$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.43	75	28%21 W · 54 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Fugitt	17c	3,700$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Fugitt	21c	3,186$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.15	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Fugitt	17c	3,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fugitt	18c	2,984$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.57	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Fugitt	19c	2,827$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.79	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Fugitt	19c	2,824$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Miller	79c	2,032$1,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Fugitt	18c	1,497$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.46	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Miller	80c	1,389$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.75	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Fugitt	24c	1,248$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.13	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Miller	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Fugitt	19c	999.96$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.99	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Fugitt	20c	995.73$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.11	905	53.6%485 W · 420 L	+46.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Fugitt	19c	794.85$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.63	242	56.2%136 W · 106 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ee4…80f2backed Fugitt	19c	707.43$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.92	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Fugitt	20c	640$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Miller	80c	600$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Fugitt	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Fugitt	18c	501.7$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.99	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Fugitt	21c	483.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Fugitt	15c	476.19$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.43	420	54%227 W · 193 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Miller	79c	408.82$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.85	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fugitt	19c	401.13$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.36	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Fugitt	20c	396.9$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.38	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fugitt	14c	385.61$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.23	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Miller	77c	362.04$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.89	92	56.5%52 W · 40 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Fugitt	21c	357.15$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Miller	76c	345.67$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.71	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…e8e1backed Miller	80c	327.75$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.55	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa26b…a7c0backed Fugitt	21c	321.1$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fugitt	22c	315.53$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.15	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Fugitt	28c	310.15$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.72	79	21.5%17 W · 62 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Miller	80c	288.87$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.99	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc5…3984backed Miller	70c	254.98$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.97	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ab…cda4backed Fugitt	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+86.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Fugitt	8c	247.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Fugitt	14c	247$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.82	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Fugitt	21c	232$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.72	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Miller	80c	203.33$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.67	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Fugitt	16c	199.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Fugitt	29c	199.53$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.54	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Fugitt	22c	198$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.46	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6b…9431backed Miller	80c	182.14$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.43	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Fugitt	22c	181.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d30…114cbacked Miller	79c	174.39$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.89	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Fugitt	17c	163.1$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.31	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Fugitt	17c	152.69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Miller	69c	146.48$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.86	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-5.6wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Fugitt	13c	142.97$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.95	194	18.6%36 W · 158 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Miller	74c	135.13$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.13	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Miller	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	265	69.4%184 W · 81 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Miller	79c	127$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Miller	80c	125.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.05	136	36%49 W · 87 L	-13.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Miller	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	73cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800f…1535backed Miller	80c	120.33$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.07	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e2…3000backed Fugitt	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Fugitt	17c	111$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	36cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Miller	71c	107.25$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.78	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Fugitt	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Miller	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9116…a674backed Fugitt	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	47cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Miller	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a7…f50fbacked Fugitt	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa226…5092backed Fugitt	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…baf6backed Fugitt	18c	99.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec71…70ebbacked Fugitt	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-5.3wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Fugitt	18c	95$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Fugitt	20c	93.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	158	39.2%62 W · 96 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Fugitt	17c	88.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+70.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa506…d4ddbacked Fugitt	23c	88.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b226backed Miller	80c	87.52$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e75…7f95backed Fugitt	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c92…e526backed Fugitt	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Fugitt	17c	75.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.84	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Miller	77c	75$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Fugitt	18c	69.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5344…c194backed Fugitt	22c	69.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.34	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Fugitt	17c	66.66$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb2…f226backed Fugitt	21c	64.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.20per pick	44cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Ty Miller win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event