UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8c8ea2354cb3c44a648320e24e4935d17cea4d9ad5c38e782cd022796434367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Regina Tarinof Ernesta Kareckaite, Regina Tarin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 55c | 36,100$19,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,769.79 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Regina Tarin | 42c | 35,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,299.98 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Regina Tarin | 46c | 26,517$12,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,425.56 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Regina Tarin | 58c | 20,907$12,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,739.03 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 56c | 18,750$10,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,487.43 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Regina Tarin | 43c | 16,660$7,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,423.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 56c | 16,110$9,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,020.35 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 52c | 15,438$8,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,047.88 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 12c | 12,101$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.75 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Regina Tarin | 45c | 11,129$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.88 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 58c | 10,190$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,870.18 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Regina Tarin | 69c | 9,998$6,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.22 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 54c | 9,948$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.83 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 11c | 8,058$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.86 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 9c | 7,213$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.7 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…7ccdbacked Regina Tarin | 42c | 6,412$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Regina Tarin | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.16 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Regina Tarin | 61c | 3,919$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.21 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Regina Tarin | 76c | 3,600$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.53 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Regina Tarin | 41c | 3,401$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Regina Tarin | 64c | 3,270$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Regina Tarin | 67c | 3,216$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 58c | 3,124$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.96 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 34c | 3,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Regina Tarin | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.97 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 40c | 2,977$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.88 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…5138backed Regina Tarin | 42c | 2,855$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…0d53backed Regina Tarin | 42c | 2,724$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…bdf6backed Regina Tarin | 42c | 2,655$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…3aaabacked Regina Tarin | 42c | 2,599$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 49c | 2,347$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.9 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 59c | 2,308$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.9 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 57c | 2,084$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Regina Tarin | 71c | 1,680$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked Regina Tarin | 41c | 1,650$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…e6e6backed Regina Tarin | 42c | 1,535$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Regina Tarin | 57c | 1,523$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.56 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 60c | 1,494$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 57c | 1,477$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Regina Tarin | 66c | 1,471$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.34 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Regina Tarin | 57c | 1,398$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.05 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 20c | 1,391$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Regina Tarin | 64c | 1,132$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.88 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Regina Tarin | 42c | 1,125$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.43 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 59c | 1,024$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…a2bfbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 63c | 1,003$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.25 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…398dbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 58c | 992.51$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Regina Tarin | 37c | 967.83$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.92 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Regina Tarin | 79c | 947.77$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.74 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Regina Tarin | 41c | 935$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 58c | 862.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 60c | 837.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 60c | 751.75$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…bec2backed Regina Tarin | 48c | 696.2$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.73 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Regina Tarin | 41c | 688.49$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.21 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Regina Tarin | 80c | 647.98$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 52c | 579.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Regina Tarin | 43c | 553.49$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.49 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 54c | 551.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Regina Tarin | 58c | 509.04$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Regina Tarin | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…d6d0backed Regina Tarin | 42c | 456.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Regina Tarin | 50c | 455$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Regina Tarin | 73c | 445.92$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…af7cbacked Regina Tarin | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Regina Tarin | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…1bccbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 58c | 414.98$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…2a84backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 59c | 392.47$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Regina Tarin | 41c | 389.07$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 29c | 386.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 57c | 375.2$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Regina Tarin | 44c | 375$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…70ebbacked Regina Tarin | 42c | 370.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Regina Tarin | 44c | 354.28$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 55c | 335.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Regina Tarin | 77c | 302.33$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Regina Tarin | 42c | 301.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.61 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Regina Tarin | 42c | 290$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Regina Tarin | 42c | 281$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 25c | 260.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Regina Tarin | 42c | 240.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Ernesta Kareckaite | 51c | 210.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Regina Tarin | 71c | 209.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Regina Tarin | 53c | 206.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Regina Tarin | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Regina Tarin | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…c07cbacked Ernesta Kareckaite | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed Regina Tarin | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.