UFC · resolved market
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7824d316beb32f708a9f96ea680eaa03fe0a7aae64a1e4b7608a2d0dc8f27d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elekanaof Elekana, Tafa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,056,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,127,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,056,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Elekana | 70c | 400,000$280,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,999.95 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Tafa | 30c | 222,708$66,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,320.09 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Tafa | 30c | 176,046$52,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,813.69 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Elekana | 70c | 134,056$94,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,876.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Tafa | 30c | 130,581$39,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,174.17 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Tafa | 30c | 100,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Elekana | 70c | 70,668$49,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,209.19 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Tafa | 30c | 65,269$19,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,580.58 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Elekana | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Elekana | 70c | 40,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Elekana | 70c | 37,712$26,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,313.63 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…4dd8backed Tafa | 18c | 27,629$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Tafa | 39c | 16,542$6,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,471.07 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Elekana | 70c | 14,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.96 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tafa | 49c | 10,340$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.73 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Tafa | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Tafa | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0113backed Elekana | 71c | 9,658$6,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Tafa | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Elekana | 71c | 6,694$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.67 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Tafa | 29c | 6,476$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.17 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Elekana | 69c | 6,195$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.33 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Tafa | 42c | 6,011$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.11 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Tafa | 45c | 5,581$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Tafa | 38c | 5,146$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Tafa | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Elekana | 69c | 5,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Elekana | 70c | 4,500$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Elekana | 71c | 4,300$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Elekana | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Elekana | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Tafa | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Tafa | 50c | 3,959$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.73 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Tafa | 57c | 3,801$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Elekana | 51c | 3,396$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.53 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Tafa | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tafa | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Tafa | 44c | 3,067$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Elekana | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tafa | 40c | 2,967$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.93 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Tafa | 30c | 2,831$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.32 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Elekana | 71c | 2,827$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.9 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Elekana | 70c | 2,580$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Elekana | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Tafa | 30c | 2,087$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.22 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Elekana | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.63 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Tafa | 30c | 2,050$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Tafa | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Tafa | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tafa | 42c | 1,938$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Elekana | 71c | 1,901$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.41 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tafa | 34c | 1,889$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.11 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Tafa | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Tafa | 30c | 1,562$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.6 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Tafa | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…9224backed Elekana | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Tafa | 42c | 1,373$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Tafa | 45c | 1,334$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Tafa | 30c | 1,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Tafa | 3c | 1,300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Elekana | 70c | 1,257$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.14 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Tafa | 43c | 1,213$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.98 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Elekana | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Elekana | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Tafa | 4c | 1,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Elekana | 71c | 1,093$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…f14cbacked Elekana | 74c | 1,061$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tafa | 50c | 1,022$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.14 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Tafa | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Elekana | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Tafa | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Tafa | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed Elekana | 71c | 985.92$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Elekana | 69c | 967.72$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Elekana | 48c | 922.37$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Tafa | 31c | 799.97$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Elekana | 71c | 775$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Tafa | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Tafa | 30c | 736.45$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Elekana | 70c | 714.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.49 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Elekana | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Elekana | 64c | 700$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Elekana | 70c | 700$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…0a0dbacked Elekana | 70c | 685.71$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Elekana | 70c | 659.54$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.86 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Tafa | 38c | 659.13$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Elekana | 57c | 600$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Elekana | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Elekana | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tafa | 34c | 532.4$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Tafa | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Tafa | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Elekana | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Elekana | 67c | 499.7$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Elekana | 42c | 476.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked Elekana | 68c | 441.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked Elekana | 62c | 433$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Elekana | 70c | 430$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tafa | 45c | 423.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.87 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…4d9abacked Elekana | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Billy Elekana win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Junior Tafa win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.