TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Wagner Seahawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wagner Seahawksof Le Moyne Dolphins, Wagner Seahawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Wagner Seahawks49c18,384$8,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,465.1174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Le Moyne Dolphins52c10,190$5,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,272.165,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Le Moyne Dolphins51c3,396$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.481,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins54c2,469$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.131,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins53c2,444$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.16043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Wagner Seahawks46c1,933$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.7346446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wagner Seahawks47c1,727$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.672,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7802,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins53c1,371$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins52c1,166$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.1789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked Le Moyne Dolphins2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20390%0 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Wagner Seahawks48c937.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.556444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins46c706.94$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.3887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Wagner Seahawks50c546.28$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.772,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Wagner Seahawks47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wagner Seahawks47c480.49$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Le Moyne Dolphins35c449.64$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.981,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Wagner Seahawks47c444.81$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7542339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wagner Seahawks51c435$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.142,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wagner Seahawks47c421.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.193,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Le Moyne Dolphins37c398$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.151,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Le Moyne Dolphins43c394.46$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2138345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Wagner Seahawks47c331.37$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6355840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Le Moyne Dolphins52c313$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.639856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Le Moyne Dolphins56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.341546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Wagner Seahawks51c265.46$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Le Moyne Dolphins51c249.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5762451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Le Moyne Dolphins51c247$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8314643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Le Moyne Dolphins42c240.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Le Moyne Dolphins32c238$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.622,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins49c226.04$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.821,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Wagner Seahawks45c198.13$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9737441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Le Moyne Dolphins48c188.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.981,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b7…b46fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins56c178.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks45c151$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.913,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Le Moyne Dolphins45c147.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.89259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Wagner Seahawks63c138.28$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2836942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Le Moyne Dolphins55c122$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.15738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Le Moyne Dolphins52c106.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Wagner Seahawks46c104.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4913651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Le Moyne Dolphins13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1257…f4d2backed Le Moyne Dolphins12c99.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.94150%0 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Wagner Seahawks39c96.39$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5770349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Le Moyne Dolphins46c92.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b2…ced6backed Le Moyne Dolphins43c91.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.432055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Le Moyne Dolphins32c78.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Wagner Seahawks58c71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8930945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Wagner Seahawks48c69.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.331,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Le Moyne Dolphins56c66.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4135650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Wagner Seahawks60c58.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.248350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb242…0733backed Le Moyne Dolphins59c57.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.282268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e2…da93backed Wagner Seahawks48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Le Moyne Dolphins55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Wagner Seahawks38c54.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.671,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wagner Seahawks50c45.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6557655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Wagner Seahawks45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.225436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24c6…234cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins47c39.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3bf…5004backed Wagner Seahawks63c36.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Wagner Seahawks43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.164658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Le Moyne Dolphins51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.352353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wagner Seahawks47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.842,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7531666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Le Moyne Dolphins57c19.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0613550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.