Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Massachusetts Minutemen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca1dcf8a911cbd93ce0916d1e59e6ee493f854fb78c356be1f2dba00f5de7acc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Massachusetts Minutemenof Central Michigan Chippewas, Massachusetts Minutemen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7312…dea7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 53c | 6,253$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 59c | 3,968$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 53c | 3,482$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.28 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 3,412$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.49 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 77c | 2,594$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.52 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 2,047$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.21 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 19c | 1,970$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 2c | 1,633$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 14c | 1,264$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 24c | 1,066$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 904.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.71 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 77c | 900$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 29c | 860.63$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 836.46$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.36 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 26c | 675.62$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.61 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 20c | 496.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 15c | 470.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 14c | 423.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 313$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 17c | 269$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 23c | 255$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 41c | 245.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 48c | 220$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 64c | 208.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 55c | 205$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 64c | 194.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 59c | 183.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 64c | 182$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 181.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 56c | 174.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 15c | 153.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 16c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 70c | 129$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 16c | 103$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 61c | 87.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 15c | 78.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 64.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…8649backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 48.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 31c | 44.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 41c | 42.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 31c | 34.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 68c | 32.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…234cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3173…7be4backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 71c | 20.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Massachusetts Minutementhis page
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Massachusetts Minutemen (-9.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.