Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Massachusetts Minutemen (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc36dda2c6cd674a43537809529c3927e10a98a58ad3732dfb31468c7793ebc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michigan Chippewasof Massachusetts Minutemen, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 57c | 2,007$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 42c | 1,594$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.51 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 1,004$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 45c | 737.78$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.78 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 45c | 95.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 42c | 94.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 46c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…4631backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Massachusetts Minutemen (-9.5)this page
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts Minutemen won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.