TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Elon Phoenix vs. Hampton Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hampton Piratesof Elon Phoenix, Hampton Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$747,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$750,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c5d…c55fbacked Elon Phoenix55c329,500$181,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,225742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+24.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…bcccbacked Hampton Pirates45c329,500$148,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,225742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Elon Phoenix0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick2cpaid-63.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hampton Pirates44c5,216$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.8274649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hampton Pirates47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.979845.9%45 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Elon Phoenix56c4,968$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778.5537441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Elon Phoenix44c4,337$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.331,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Elon Phoenix54c3,752$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.821,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Hampton Pirates37c2,573$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.6346446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Elon Phoenix6c2,448$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.22,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Hampton Pirates48c2,129$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.9144549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Hampton Pirates49c2,043$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.4435151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hampton Pirates45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.994548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hampton Pirates36c1,654$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.972,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Elon Phoenix52c1,576$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.552,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Elon Phoenix57c1,558$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.755,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Elon Phoenix52c1,495$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.392,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Elon Phoenix55c1,424$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.728055%44 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hampton Pirates46c1,350$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.4912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hampton Pirates23c1,146$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.674,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hampton Pirates45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.9989850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Elon Phoenix54c1,095$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.954161%25 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Elon Phoenix53c971.7$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5154628.3%13 W · 33 L-7.6wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Hampton Pirates46c970$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.856444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Elon Phoenix54c960.8$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.8316350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Elon Phoenix67c954.98$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.77656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Elon Phoenix60c862.9$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.361,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Elon Phoenix59c852.15$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Elon Phoenix45c821.63$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.961,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Hampton Pirates47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42411347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Elon Phoenix53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42416755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Hampton Pirates51c779.4$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Elon Phoenix51c572.56$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.451,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Elon Phoenix55c570.99$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6772248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Elon Phoenix55c540$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29737142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…6537backed Hampton Pirates44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x645b…49a4backed Elon Phoenix56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Elon Phoenix53c489$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.171,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hampton Pirates45c456.58$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.675,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Hampton Pirates46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.784656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Hampton Pirates47c394$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix33c390.38$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.621,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Elon Phoenix53c384.82$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Elon Phoenix55c370.71$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.617844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Elon Phoenix54c368.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hampton Pirates42c360.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.551,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Elon Phoenix35c350.49$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.351020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hampton Pirates43c338.12$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.341,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hampton Pirates45c323$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Elon Phoenix55c320$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Elon Phoenix59c300$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.571546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Hampton Pirates45c285$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.64427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Elon Phoenix57c277.71$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.192,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Hampton Pirates46c238.81$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Hampton Pirates21c237.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9522640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hampton Pirates38c227.66$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.961,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Hampton Pirates46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3919555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Elon Phoenix54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Elon Phoenix54c183.35$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.012937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Elon Phoenix71c182.78$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6714151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Elon Phoenix55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Elon Phoenix55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Elon Phoenix52c181.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.925619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hampton Pirates45c165.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.164,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Elon Phoenix52c158.13$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.234,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Hampton Pirates33c151.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1913651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Elon Phoenix40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8525246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4db…cb61backed Elon Phoenix56c148.21$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Elon Phoenix58c139.58$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.439259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Hampton Pirates46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hampton Pirates46c115.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.672,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c6…234cbacked Elon Phoenix55c114.34$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b2…ced6backed Hampton Pirates48c111.83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.132055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Elon Phoenix51c110.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Hampton Pirates48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.176756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Elon Phoenix29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302425%6 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Elon Phoenix55c100.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.412,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Elon Phoenix55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551850%9 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Elon Phoenix54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543450%17 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Hampton Pirates44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9114244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Elon Phoenix50c78.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.383,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd1…8663backed Hampton Pirates47c71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hampton Pirates46c66.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9137835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd0a…d64bbacked Hampton Pirates44c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick28cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Hampton Pirates53c62.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4645953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Hampton Pirates46c58.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7838345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Hampton Pirates44c56.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.643447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Elon Phoenix61c56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.11,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Hampton Pirates42c51.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.997247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Elon Phoenix62c50.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.313,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Hampton Pirates43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Elon Phoenix55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Elon Phoenix57c48.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.596459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27a…44bbbacked Hampton Pirates47c47.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf462…7c84backed Elon Phoenix55c47.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Hampton Pirates42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6225230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d93…9ed1backed Elon Phoenix53c44.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.851650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Elon Phoenix43c44.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.182030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Elon Phoenix50c44.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0657655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x203d…e00fbacked Elon Phoenix65c43.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.