Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdcceb5607e76eec5358a610cb760fb6e93889bc3d5716a9c1b28b936e15ca51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Moyne Dolphinsof St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, Le Moyne Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 23c | 1,129$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 49c | 755.5$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.41 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 77c | 723.2$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 43c | 658.5$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 32c | 643.37$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 76c | 626.92$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 26c | 378.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 58c | 352$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 35c | 336.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 50c | 332.24$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 56c | 279.16$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 59c | 206.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 48c | 196.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 175.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 78c | 171$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 39c | 169.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 154.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 41c | 145.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 15c | 134.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…7941backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 45c | 103$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 53c | 100.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 54c | 100.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 26c | 99.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 73c | 99.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…234cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 58c | 86.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 42c | 76.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 48c | 71.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 19c | 69.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 57c | 50.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 77c | 48.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 45.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 74c | 38.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 36c | 37.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 35.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsthis page
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-7.5)St. Francis (PA) Red Flash won
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-8.5)St. Francis (PA) Red Flash won
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.