NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac67eeb1e54f376b8759404e874d28dd54782bb689a34299e6d9abfc41d05e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 40c | 4,086$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 59c | 3,274$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks | 40c | 3,125$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.04 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs | 59c | 3,115$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.16 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,337$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.76 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 46c | 2,136$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.63 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,938$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.88 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,843$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 59c | 1,438$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.12 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 51c | 1,170$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.3 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mavericks | 44c | 1,112$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.15 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 40c | 1,086$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 60c | 1,031$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 41c | 1,005$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Spurs | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…684bbacked Spurs | 61c | 920.63$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.63 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 62c | 841.25$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.2 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Spurs | 57c | 561.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Spurs | 60c | 500.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks | 42c | 454$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Mavericks | 44c | 438.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…f3b3backed Spurs | 52c | 413.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Spurs | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Spurs | 54c | 367.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Mavericks | 28c | 364.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Spurs | 72c | 359.81$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 62c | 358.1$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 47c | 306.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Mavericks | 41c | 296.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Spurs | 50c | 272.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 50c | 272.12$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Mavericks | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Spurs | 60c | 192.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Spurs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Spurs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 40c | 171.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…8354backed Spurs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Spurs | 53c | 162$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mavericks | 40c | 153.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs | 59c | 153$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Spurs | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Spurs | 52c | 116.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…e045backed Spurs | 60c | 114.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Spurs | 75c | 108.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spurs | 66c | 102.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Mavericks | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Spurs | 62c | 88.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Spurs | 61c | 82.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 71c | 72.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Mavericks | 22c | 71.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 45c | 70.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Mavericks | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Mavericks | 39c | 60.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Spurs | 59c | 60.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mavericks | 41c | 59.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…0e69backed Spurs | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…145abacked Spurs | 60c | 56.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 55.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…76ebbacked Spurs | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Spurs | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Spurs | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Spurs | 52c | 47.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs | 64c | 45.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Spurs | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…307abacked Spurs | 73c | 38.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…140cbacked Mavericks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mavericks | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Spurs | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…b5f4backed Spurs | 57c | 32.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Spurs | 53c | 32.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Mavericks | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Spurs | 61c | 28.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Spurs | 57c | 25.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Mavericks | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 60c | 23.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Spurs | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…d23fbacked Spurs | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Spurs | 57c | 21.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed Spurs | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Spurs | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Spurs | 61c | 18.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. MavericksSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.