NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd88ce261de0b7a33ae391efacde256626d4ec30d1837cccb8e2881690099969a

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Spurs, Mavericks
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $344,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $345,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,087 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks	49c	126,018$61,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,748.74	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs	51c	100,373$51,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,183	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks	47c	55,065$25,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,960.78	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs	52c	47,297$24,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,737.25	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks	49c	44,544$21,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,625.39	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Spurs	51c	41,400$21,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,286	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Mavericks	49c	40,415$19,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,803.3	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs	51c	26,920$13,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,223.88	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Spurs	51c	24,346$12,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,968.05	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Spurs	52c	24,213$12,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,583.2	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs	53c	11,145$5,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,238.13	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Spurs	53c	8,207$4,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,831.32	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Mavericks	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-12.4wins	-0.26per pick	52cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Spurs	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs	50c	4,652$2,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,325.93	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks	50c	4,584$2,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,292	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Mavericks	46c	3,721$1,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,711.63	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Spurs	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs	48c	2,770$1,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440.72	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs	51c	2,752$1,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350.21	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs	52c	2,417$1,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.24	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Spurs	53c	2,333$1,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.51	390	51.5%201 W · 189 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs	50c	2,323$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,169.84	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs	51c	2,040$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,009.6	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks	50c	1,992$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.09	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Mavericks	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs	51c	1,765$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.85	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307c…aca6backed Mavericks	48c	1,458$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Mavericks	49c	1,373$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks	49c	1,323$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.55	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	50c	1,274$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.08	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs	50c	1,072$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Spurs	54c	505.05$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.68	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Spurs	44c	502$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.96	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Spurs	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Spurs	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Spurs	52c	401.95$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.09	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Spurs	52c	394.23$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.23	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Mavericks	51c	313.73$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Mavericks	54c	296.3$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Spurs	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+4.6wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Mavericks	51c	275$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.25	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks	49c	255.81$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.7	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Spurs	52c	225$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109	228	50.9%116 W · 112 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Mavericks	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.7	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Spurs	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Spurs	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Mavericks	52c	192.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Mavericks	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a61…7017backed Mavericks	52c	153.85$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs	41c	147.34$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.25	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Mavericks	49c	133$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.17	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Mavericks	54c	129.63$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Mavericks	47c	118.75$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.91	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ffa…1e06backed Mavericks	54c	111.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Spurs	50c	110.37$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.44	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Spurs	52c	108$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.4	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Mavericks	49c	103$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.47	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Spurs	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.48	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca4…2a96backed Mavericks	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Spurs	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Mavericks	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs	51c	98.08$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.13	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Spurs	52c	98$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.59	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Spurs	54c	98$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.08	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks	53c	93.37$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.46	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Spurs	52c	86.73$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.73	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4a…4fb5backed Mavericks	53c	77.36$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Spurs	52c	75.46$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.22	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Spurs	52c	71.57$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.47	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Spurs	52c	70.91$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.08	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Spurs	52c	70.91$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.08	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Spurs	51c	69.11$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.86	336	53.9%181 W · 155 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Spurs	51c	67$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.83	368	42.4%156 W · 212 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Mavericks	53c	64.15$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe44e…c6b8backed Mavericks	63c	63.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Mavericks	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Spurs	52c	60.96$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.26	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Spurs	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Mavericks	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked Mavericks	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Mavericks	54c	46.49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	199	40.7%81 W · 118 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Spurs	52c	45.82$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.82	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Mavericks	48c	41.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	379	59.4%225 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Spurs	52c	40.6$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.49	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Spurs	52c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.1	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed Mavericks	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Spurs	51c	39.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Spurs	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1356…d4f3backed Spurs	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Spurs	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Spurs	52c	38.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Mavericks	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	156	43.6%68 W · 88 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Spurs	50c	36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5No won
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. MavericksSpurs won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event