Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606355271b017cbeb1d277cad41a59bb91d8a1275f1489e83a36b41d7f3f904c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $608,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $326,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,246 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	23,646$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.92	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	10c	22,106$2,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,189.41	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	12,318$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	10,600$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c3…13fcbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	0c	8,740$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	8,355$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.34	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes	13c	8,124$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.09	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	8,000$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	7,692$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.33	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf89…a739backed Yes	2c	7,464$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.8	107	15.9%17 W · 90 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	9c	7,329$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.68	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	6,607$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.66	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	6,000$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aaa…c18dbacked Yes	6c	5,999$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.42	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+219.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	5,728$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed Yes	2c	5,149$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.86	99	21.2%21 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1659…ede3backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	4,651$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.82	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04f5…a10ebacked Yes	1c	4,500$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.8	77	11.7%9 W · 68 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	1c	4,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35bb…6e36backed Yes	13c	3,832$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	3,665$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.79	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	11c	3,594$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.7	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes	1c	3,307$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.6	40	0%0 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	10c	3,300$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.52	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	8c	3,198$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.7	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	19c	3,178$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.52	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	3,128$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.02	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	6c	3,100$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.4	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	3,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	5c	3,000$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.32	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,873$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	11c	2,855$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.12	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	2c	2,655$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.26	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf833…37f0backed Yes	14c	2,642$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.55	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	2,578$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.66	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	7c	2,294$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.1	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	10c	2,222$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.2	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes	7c	2,102$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	96	9.4%9 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	2,099$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	15c	2,055$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	14c	2,030$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.14	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6396…7e87backed Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	7c	1,995$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.92	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c7…3976backed Yes	11c	1,923$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.77	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes	7c	1,911$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.66	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2090…2246backed Yes	12c	1,898$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.22	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb9…1418backed Yes	7c	1,821$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	259	44.4%115 W · 144 L	+10.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes	13c	1,800$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	98	9.2%9 W · 89 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6030…d09cbacked Yes	16c	1,735$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	14c	1,714$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.19	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab7…7884backed Yes	14c	1,587$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	1,508$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.59	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…9dafbacked Yes	11c	1,446$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.06	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b90…62d6backed Yes	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	9c	1,400$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.81	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdf…a3c8backed Yes	15c	1,375$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Yes	15c	1,350$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.5	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	8c	1,300$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	146	25.3%37 W · 109 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5048…4b29backed Yes	15c	1,277$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.79	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	10c	1,207$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.6	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes	9c	1,130$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd20…c958backed Yes	10c	1,100$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	11c	1,094$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.51	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	9c	1,089$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.31	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	4c	1,068$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.09	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…99abbacked Yes	15c	1,062$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.73	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa95b…6927backed Yes	10c	1,001$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6faa…5a5bbacked Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd805…4a00backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb752…42bbbacked Yes	10c	999.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e2…c3cabacked Yes	17c	995.76$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.28	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93e8…c88bbacked Yes	10c	992.87$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.83	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2dc…e100backed Yes	16c	977.02$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.32	46	13%6 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	13c	975.52$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.45	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4982…fe01backed Yes	11c	937.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	115	29.6%34 W · 81 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc296…0f22backed Yes	10c	905.33$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.17	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ef…7690backed Yes	16c	902.92$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.47	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bee…5628backed Yes	13c	900$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	97	16.5%16 W · 81 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742e…d945backed Yes	6c	899.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	62	21%13 W · 49 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b4…055ebacked Yes	11c	889.53$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.85	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	10c	879.28$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.93	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	1c	857.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	13c	813.98$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.82	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…415bbacked Yes	13c	767.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	13c	766.8$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05a…1049backed Yes	11c	756.54$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	8c	741.89$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.61	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe87…83d6backed Yes	14c	715.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd231…8c11backed Yes	14c	700$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.81	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+28%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event