Weather · resolved market
Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb29aac1489d10cf4f496db9f1f01f5385bcc40d1f22ef5772ef1bcf91902810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4222…cf8abacked Yes | 0c | 12,839$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 8,880$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…5359backed Yes | 0c | 8,686$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,988$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…5754backed Yes | 11c | 2,138$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e4…8da0backed Yes | 11c | 2,007$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…1bbabacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd148…1327backed Yes | 7c | 1,855$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,725$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 3c | 1,707$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 9c | 1,684$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa56b…b7b9backed Yes | 1c | 1,407$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 2c | 1,374$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…611abacked Yes | 10c | 1,321$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…416fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,028$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Yes | 4c | 1,009$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…4d36backed Yes | 15c | 865.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Yes | 12c | 846.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af2…7a8abacked Yes | 10c | 754.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 613.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x02bd…3c32backed Yes | 7c | 510.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…95b1backed Yes | 13c | 476.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 465.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 398 | 10.8%43 W · 355 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb4…346bbacked Yes | 14c | 440.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 434.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 158 | 18.4%29 W · 129 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6552…eb72backed Yes | 12c | 403.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 399.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…da9dbacked Yes | 9c | 392.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504a…20debacked Yes | 26c | 366.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 362.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 6c | 354.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…ca07backed Yes | 8c | 351.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 308.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 437 | 13.3%58 W · 379 L | -78.8wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…2c18backed Yes | 4c | 305.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 5c | 230.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…00e0backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…25febacked Yes | 14c | 213.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…e1cbbacked Yes | 16c | 209$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f5…da81backed Yes | 10c | 207.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…925fbacked Yes | 15c | 206.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 9c | 201.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…9974backed Yes | 10c | 200.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Yes | 20c | 200.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Yes | 7c | 199.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…5ff2backed Yes | 29c | 174.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74f…57f6backed Yes | 18c | 168.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0a…1d3bbacked Yes | 9c | 168.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…d5e6backed Yes | 12c | 167.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed Yes | 14c | 159.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 10c | 156.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9f…4206backed Yes | 10c | 153.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 152.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…3790backed Yes | 10c | 150.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fd…38a0backed Yes | 14c | 145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 71c | 144.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x810e…97b5backed Yes | 14c | 143.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…d349backed Yes | 15c | 137.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…cc41backed Yes | 16c | 127.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…8d43backed Yes | 16c | 126.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 10c | 126.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…112cbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2a…22b9backed Yes | 11c | 120.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed Yes | 19c | 117.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 13c | 114.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…e0eebacked Yes | 13c | 114.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 12c | 112.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…bcf3backed Yes | 18c | 110.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 106.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…b658backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…db99backed Yes | 12c | 95.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3e21backed Yes | 14c | 94.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…2416backed Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 28c | 88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…f9c0backed Yes | 22c | 86.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bf…df87backed Yes | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 13c | 82.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…8be8backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 71c | 79.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…2113backed Yes | 26c | 74.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…34e1backed No | 80c | 58.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…cf43backed Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…0a5fbacked Yes | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…9f20backed Yes | 44c | 35.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9091…7557backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?this page
- Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes won
- Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.