Weather · resolved market
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac3c0311cd6def4d633157b891d9519b6d995760b0820245a63600325f078221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbc8…cf55backed No | 5c | 9,528$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 10c | 6,361$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked No | 2c | 4,627$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 61c | 4,230$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 48c | 3,887$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Yes | 72c | 3,625$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -80%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 13c | 2,885$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed No | 5c | 2,610$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a63…6118backed Yes | 24c | 2,342$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 5c | 1,852$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…cf8abacked No | 12c | 1,694$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 18c | 1,595$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed No | 60c | 1,491$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x619f…32e9backed No | 17c | 1,481$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…bb52backed No | 3c | 1,480$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 1c | 1,461$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked No | 4c | 1,385$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 48c | 1,374$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…b9c9backed Yes | 22c | 1,344$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 78c | 1,332$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…8ba8backed No | 2c | 1,296$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 20c | 1,200$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…8c11backed Yes | 53c | 1,153$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 70c | 1,143$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.82 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…a2b3backed No | 13c | 1,129$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 74c | 1,078$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…1453backed Yes | 28c | 1,065$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…2c18backed Yes | 53c | 1,009$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.39 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bd…3c32backed Yes | 20c | 999.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.73 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…30fabacked Yes | 61c | 950.26$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed No | 12c | 930.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…611abacked Yes | 15c | 904.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…e3acbacked No | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…a4e3backed No | 3c | 857.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…3b7fbacked No | 67c | 853.06$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 852.17$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.41 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked No | 12c | 799.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 23c | 782.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…9b77backed No | 1c | 738.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…f5dcbacked No | 3c | 728.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 65c | 714.52$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.15 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…db99backed Yes | 71c | 668.03$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 79c | 627.14$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…21cfbacked Yes | 38c | 619.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…34e1backed Yes | 51c | 600.14$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 39c | 595.64$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.16 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…d511backed Yes | 22c | 579.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed No | 19c | 559.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 54c | 513.82$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.75 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…68b8backed No | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…e433backed Yes | 20c | 511.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…ba75backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…3526backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 488.96$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.07 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…1364backed Yes | 72c | 485.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 483.25$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.76 | 2,837 | 11.2%317 W · 2,520 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…86e9backed Yes | 45c | 469.8$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…d111backed No | 13c | 453.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…d82fbacked No | 12c | 445.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb4…346bbacked Yes | 22c | 443.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…416fbacked Yes | 29c | 428.4$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes | 47c | 427.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…587bbacked Yes | 24c | 418.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…95b1backed Yes | 14c | 418.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…dc29backed No | 12c | 415.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 56c | 403.91$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked No | 13c | 402.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…329dbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked No | 23c | 399.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 72c | 381.69$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.95 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…ca07backed Yes | 16c | 373.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed No | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e21…a2b8backed Yes | 75c | 350$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16f…8e26backed Yes | 36c | 350$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 78c | 347.12$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…5ff2backed Yes | 21c | 342.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed No | 14c | 337.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…a3c9backed Yes | 15c | 320$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed No | 32c | 316.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 32c | 309.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…0006backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8ab9backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Yes | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…238dbacked Yes | 25c | 296.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…525dbacked Yes | 23c | 287.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…8dbbbacked No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 55c | 275.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 274.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.34 | 158 | 18.4%29 W · 129 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x280d…47a9backed No | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…5614backed Yes | 58c | 266.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e753backed Yes | 78c | 261.68$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…3bdbbacked Yes | 14c | 250.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef4…e7c0backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 19c | 249.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 321 | 33.3%107 W · 214 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 14c | 239.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked No | 55c | 239.17$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…124fbacked Yes | 20c | 233.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 45c | 233.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?this page
- Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.