Weather · resolved market
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29f7b99ec759e967e9b9def03be5e0ab93484f2e61dc69d3a956eb3884a80fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 16c | 10,131$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…2d9dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,142$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 33c | 5,074$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…cf8abacked Yes | 6c | 4,624$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…1c5fbacked Yes | 14c | 3,201$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…2d78backed No | 78c | 2,962$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked Yes | 0c | 2,901$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef4…e7c0backed Yes | 3c | 2,575$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…b9c9backed Yes | 62c | 1,950$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,906$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -80%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 78c | 1,845$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.93 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,828$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 18c | 1,789$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b7afbacked Yes | 6c | 1,674$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 17c | 1,595$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 23c | 1,374$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 19c | 1,292$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 20c | 1,288$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,200$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,144$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes | 6c | 1,131$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…de61backed Yes | 11c | 1,114$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,088$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 6c | 1,029$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed Yes | 9c | 1,006$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…ba75backed Yes | 16c | 976.09$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…351cbacked Yes | 21c | 973.05$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8ab9backed Yes | 5c | 915.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…3526backed Yes | 17c | 899.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 847.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…7631backed Yes | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…07acbacked Yes | 9c | 794.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 790.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 16c | 790.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…4d36backed No | 74c | 764.82$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 5c | 763$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 16c | 735.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 14c | 721.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…e433backed Yes | 7c | 703.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…a3c9backed Yes | 15c | 695.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…8c11backed Yes | 24c | 681.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…611abacked Yes | 11c | 663.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…1603backed Yes | 5c | 629.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 9c | 613.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a9…af9dbacked Yes | 3c | 601.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 17c | 598.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…88e4backed Yes | 5c | 597.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd775…7706backed Yes | 6c | 550$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…d511backed Yes | 29c | 546.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 80c | 545.39$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…0846backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…21cfbacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…b8fcbacked No | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Yes | 10c | 496.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…5ff2backed Yes | 41c | 489.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…9e82backed Yes | 4c | 482.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…32cdbacked Yes | 2c | 479.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…a1b9backed Yes | 4c | 475.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…525dbacked Yes | 20c | 472.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…587bbacked Yes | 22c | 446.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836b…9f33backed Yes | 22c | 444.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 6c | 436.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 21c | 425.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 32c | 419.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 78c | 412.61$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 77c | 412.25$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Yes | 18c | 409.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…416fbacked Yes | 22c | 406.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 29c | 406.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…f333backed Yes | 12c | 405.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 273 | 28.6%78 W · 195 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…b717backed Yes | 49c | 400$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…e3c0backed Yes | 10c | 399.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…83c8backed Yes | 7c | 388.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e54…0b5ebacked Yes | 4c | 382$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 381.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 37c | 380$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x365b…9c42backed Yes | 23c | 379.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…1453backed Yes | 27c | 370.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…34e1backed Yes | 37c | 366.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 11c | 358.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…c316backed Yes | 11c | 354.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…3b7fbacked Yes | 42c | 349.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…e9b7backed Yes | 23c | 349$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 20c | 348$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 347.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…711cbacked Yes | 7c | 344.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed Yes | 6c | 337.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bd…3c32backed Yes | 20c | 324.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fb…c1d8backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…4fcbbacked Yes | 11c | 304.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…d56fbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c18…5079backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 437 | 13.3%58 W · 379 L | -78.8wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 18c | 299.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…dac9backed Yes | 7c | 291.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307b…8bdabacked Yes | 17c | 287.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?this page
- Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes won
- Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
- Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.