La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d3e2137e0855792cc00ae02afc4833e7a4e41b2b56f8842c2b077571ba9cba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 4,934$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,828$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.91 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 19c | 2,470$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.35 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 2,156$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.49 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 12c | 2,053$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…c7f6backed Yes | 12c | 1,408$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 14c | 1,105$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,095$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 929.44$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.89 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 12c | 689.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 15c | 665$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…3296backed Yes | 9c | 611.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 25c | 398.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 15c | 344.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 15c | 334.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 7c | 302.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yes | 19c | 280.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 260.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes | 15c | 233.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3e21backed Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 16c | 177.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…700cbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 16c | 142.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…525ebacked Yes | 17c | 120.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 19c | 119$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…a1f2backed Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 104.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…155dbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…5927backed Yes | 17c | 93.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 16c | 88.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…e537backed Yes | 16c | 63.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.