La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd27c7ca212b30c76d1dba8dc93d62c2c6ab9b3169f488645f542157fe4061dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 10,541$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.37 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 10c | 9,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed Yes | 11c | 6,213$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 10c | 5,400$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,196$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 9c | 3,838$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.45 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 9c | 3,720$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.2 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…4c71backed Yes | 13c | 3,536$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 6c | 3,410$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 2c | 3,169$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 10c | 2,648$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,571$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 3c | 2,400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 4c | 1,705$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 10c | 1,665$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…3296backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,246$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 13c | 1,243$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…cc45backed Yes | 7c | 1,179$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 10c | 1,174$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…717cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,117$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…dfc4backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…700cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 12c | 900$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…7584backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 10c | 819.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 8c | 745.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 5c | 705.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…373dbacked Yes | 6c | 682.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 11c | 674.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…f9e0backed Yes | 3c | 669.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee77…ad2abacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 10c | 624.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 618.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…8338backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 11c | 575.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 10c | 556.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 8c | 515.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…4919backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…cf4bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 10c | 417.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Yes | 5c | 409.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 11c | 400$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Yes | 11c | 357.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 10c | 249.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 7c | 242.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 6c | 223.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…2ababacked Yes | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 214.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 212.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…a1f2backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 12c | 196.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 10c | 190.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 9c | 166.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 150.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…5379backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…938dbacked Yes | 10c | 147.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes | 10c | 145$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Yes | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…1787backed Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 12c | 116.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…a21ebacked Yes | 11c | 111.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 103.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…eb57backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…65eabacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…29debacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa8…a08fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 10c | 95.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 12c | 90.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.