CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbb3d794ec410685b41f83e866c123605ade073eb5b60e4dddd67e68a173096c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof MASONIC, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MASONIC | 39c | 7,484$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Acend | 61c | 3,790$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.69 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Acend | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Acend | 61c | 1,951$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Acend | 51c | 1,483$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.7 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Acend | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed MASONIC | 18c | 859.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.27 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Acend | 13c | 781.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Acend | 71c | 630$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.61 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Acend | 13c | 523.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MASONIC | 24c | 520.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.51 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Acend | 61c | 469.7$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.52 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 40c | 433.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Acend | 64c | 421.88$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked MASONIC | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Acend | 61c | 384$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Acend | 61c | 382.82$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Acend | 64c | 367.05$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.72 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked MASONIC | 48c | 357.11$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.59 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed MASONIC | 48c | 337.73$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked MASONIC | 56c | 323.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Acend | 56c | 318.77$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed MASONIC | 45c | 302.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 29c | 261.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked MASONIC | 35c | 249.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked MASONIC | 37c | 229.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Acend | 70c | 216.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Acend | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Acend | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Acend | 64c | 157.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Acend | 76c | 131.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Acend | 76c | 131.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…8d66backed MASONIC | 61c | 106.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…2f07backed MASONIC | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MASONIC | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed MASONIC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…29e8backed MASONIC | 55c | 97.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Acend | 70c | 96.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Acend | 25c | 94.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked MASONIC | 34c | 91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3e21backed MASONIC | 18c | 86.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MASONIC | 30c | 77.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed MASONIC | 20c | 74.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Acend | 71c | 73.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Acend | 68c | 64.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Acend | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked MASONIC | 35c | 59.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a750backed MASONIC | 29c | 52.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Acend | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Acend | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked MASONIC | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed MASONIC | 32c | 47.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3515…ae25backed MASONIC | 37c | 45.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked MASONIC | 46c | 43.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…c02bbacked MASONIC | 35c | 42.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed MASONIC | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 142 | 62%88 W · 54 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed MASONIC | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed MASONIC | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked MASONIC | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…15d0backed Acend | 77c | 39.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed Acend | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…650ebacked Acend | 74c | 35.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Acend | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…2823backed MASONIC | 39c | 31.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c79…ea52backed Acend | 67c | 29.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f5…001dbacked Acend | 76c | 28.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Acend | 41c | 27.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MASONIC | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…9c87backed MASONIC | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Acend | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…3fafbacked Acend | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Acend | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.