TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes31c25,065$7,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,770.245337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c21,250$14,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,528.314,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c10,420$7,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,081.5890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes21c4,801$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.681520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes29c3,787$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.095939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No71c3,521$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.136357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No71c3,452$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.083847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No71c2,465$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.791758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No71c2,100$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6095754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Yes34c2,059$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes32c1,862$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5922330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No70c1,448$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.9442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No79c1,371$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No70c1,300$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.53458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No71c1,275$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.651361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No75c1,224$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.385152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6378…8404backed Yes32c1,128$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes26c1,063$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.671,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes22c992.82$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.1355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ab…ba97backed Yes34c953.26$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No68c872.56$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes26c757.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes33c742.42$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c733.33$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No55c730.49$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes23c718.96$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.343,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes15c669.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.515940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes32c625.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No76c541.64$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5216838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bcb…f619backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes20c413.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.839533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c404.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4660832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1be…7830backed Yes29c400$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9150%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c372$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b1…0fd8backed Yes30c360.7$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes29c345.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff2b…527abacked Yes24c333.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes29c327.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes34c303.82$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.31618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes24c300$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7122729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No78c280.72$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.433030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes25c280$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.76342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6214…db12backed Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes33c263.64$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes30c261.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.95151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes34c216.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe43f…61a8backed No74c211.35$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84a6…4aa8backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes29c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.853638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…3176backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d0…d964backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes24c195.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.917431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes31c193.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes34c191.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No70c183.27$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.986261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c180.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes28c154.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.525846.6%27 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c151.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.517838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes33c136.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes29c127.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.861435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes24c127.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3126…4e6abacked Yes32c123.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c120.11$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0334252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe7…6ab1backed Yes36c119.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes27c116.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed No46c114$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.184468.2%30 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27c…3358backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked No47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe61b…915fbacked Yes15c101.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…56d8backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22120%0 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3317036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf67…fc18backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c99.33$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.830956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes28c92.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.933339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d4…6a1dbacked Yes29c89.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.681030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c87.91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.031,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fd…9499backed Yes17c87.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+150.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7cc…2833backed Yes29c85.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c79.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.581,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No72c79.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.199158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…eeefbacked Yes28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+374.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2114574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde33…1496backed Yes29c70.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.231030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.