Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Akron Zips vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51fb0e42fbf1980fee4143c691f7bab2b8d9df6583182ff4ebe8e101ca0cf9e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 47,287$24,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,606.19 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 15,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 9,383$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 52c | 5,969$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.93 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 4,838$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,709$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.69 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 48c | 2,296$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.08 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 48c | 2,094$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Over | 48c | 1,464$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…b72fbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 981.19$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 48c | 837.5$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 738$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.24 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 48c | 618$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.64 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 48c | 492.08$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…a1f8backed Over | 50c | 433.23$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 48c | 414.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 388.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 382.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 48c | 373.43$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 47c | 307$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 298.63$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 171$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Over | 48c | 123.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 48c | 119.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…6e34backed Over | 48c | 66.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Over | 50c | 60.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 58.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 54c | 55.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…b3d8backed Over | 48c | 54.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 53c | 40.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 53c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 35.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Over | 47c | 34.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 32.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 48c | 31.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 48c | 30.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 48c | 25.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Over | 48c | 22.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 48c | 22.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Akron Zips vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 168.5this page
- Akron Zips vs. Buffalo BullsAkron Zips won
- Akron Zips vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.