NFL · resolved market
Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4a5969b08a470b26eba91f8bf4d5343c71edcdf9c4d9f5b8dad7249db43f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 58c | 4,082$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.96 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,383$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…079cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,967$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,267$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.83 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 1,075$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.41 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 41c | 895.41$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.77 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 32c | 824.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.49 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 42c | 601.09$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Yes | 43c | 574.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…c193backed Yes | 44c | 569.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed No | 48c | 511.63$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 43c | 489.56$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 58c | 456.91$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.86 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Yes | 26c | 381.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.13 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…7b70backed Yes | 42c | 342.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 326.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…e59cbacked Yes | 43c | 316.21$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 24c | 270.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Yes | 15c | 267.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 46c | 248.62$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 57c | 219.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked No | 60c | 188.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 73c | 178.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 169.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 46c | 151.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 29c | 149.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 57c | 148.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…8f12backed Yes | 14c | 138.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…3772backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 24c | 107.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 10c | 105.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 61c | 103.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa473…736ebacked Yes | 56c | 97.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 62c | 90.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…5b93backed Yes | 41c | 90.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 16c | 85.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5086…5080backed Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 42c | 81.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5089…9754backed Yes | 66c | 60.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 56c | 59.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 48c | 59.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27d…a3febacked Yes | 41c | 54.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…2ef1backed Yes | 59c | 52.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 60c | 50.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…7588backed Yes | 43c | 46.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Yes | 56c | 44.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 31c | 42.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…ced8backed No | 57c | 35.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…d4c1backed Yes | 43c | 35.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 34.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ea34backed Yes | 54c | 28.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…a3febacked Yes | 44c | 25.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked No | 59c | 25.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 60c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?this page
- Will Buffalo face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Buffalo face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Denver face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Houston face Chicago in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Houston face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Houston face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will New England face Chicago in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will New England face San Francisco in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Pittsburgh face San Francisco in Super Bowl LX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.