NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7f0604c6c80c3147d441a06e0470906fa4b622fd8bc1ca6ab11616de9836cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers | 51c | 34,445$17,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,494.08 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Suns | 50c | 18,512$9,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,256 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers | 50c | 11,791$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 11,435$5,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,902.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 50c | 10,319$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.62 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Suns | 50c | 6,345$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.84 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Suns | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Suns | 50c | 5,200$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed 76ers | 51c | 5,017$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.5 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Suns | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 56c | 2,389$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Suns | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 44c | 1,433$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed 76ers | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 76ers | 50c | 1,191$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.52 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 48c | 1,037$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed 76ers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Suns | 51c | 814.65$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.18 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed 76ers | 49c | 795.65$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.87 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Suns | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed 76ers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed 76ers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed 76ers | 51c | 588$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.74 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked 76ers | 50c | 585.18$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.59 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Suns | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Suns | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked 76ers | 48c | 437.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Suns | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Suns | 52c | 213$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed 76ers | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Suns | 50c | 196$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed 76ers | 46c | 152.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 49c | 145.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…32d3backed Suns | 48c | 137.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked 76ers | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked 76ers | 46c | 109.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…6db6backed Suns | 48c | 104.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed 76ers | 51c | 97.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 49c | 90.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suns | 67c | 75.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed 76ers | 19c | 63.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…270bbacked Suns | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed 76ers | 50c | 51.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed 76ers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed 76ers | 50c | 42.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Suns | 48c | 41.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Suns | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Suns | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Suns | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Suns | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers | 52c | 38.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Suns | 47c | 36.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Suns | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed 76ers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Suns | 39c | 30.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked 76ers | 51c | 27.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…c396backed Suns | 49c | 26.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…00fdbacked Suns | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…e74fbacked Suns | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Suns | 46c | 21.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Suns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Suns won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Suns vs. 76ersSuns won
- Suns vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Suns vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Suns vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.