TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 148.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,016,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,282,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,016,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c653,422$347,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305,546.2135945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c205,042$96,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,369.719860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under46c182,651$84,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,019.49652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under47c100,000$46,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,799.913649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c45,061$20,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,976.9490645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under49c39,998$19,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,598.9578155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over53c12,421$6,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,836.5310441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c11,111$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.2813154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Over54c9,592$5,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,412.1875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under47c8,511$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c5,922$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.285,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Under50c5,889$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.54847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Under51c5,829$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4008946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.8462451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over54c1,790$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.226445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c1,548$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.674,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under35c1,460$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.213851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under47c1,060$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.25143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over49c1,015$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.975945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce0…5cb9backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Over54c806.39$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.942948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under47c800$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.826740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.311,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under51c627.63$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over51c607.84$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8413247%62 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c454.24$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4989850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under52c432.69$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22518650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under47c407.83$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.682839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under50c374.53$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2741354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c322.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.492,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Over54c300.81$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.371637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c266.57$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over54c264.82$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.594344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over54c240.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.539440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Over51c220$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.84949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9277…2aedbacked Under47c217.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.291450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922025%5 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10438645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0821443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over55c182.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5118851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over54c164$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked Under47c159.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.081442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Over53c152$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.565339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Over55c148.53$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.277450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c146$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.541,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under47c142.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.776144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under47c140.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.846238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8917950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c128.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.763,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Under49c125.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.63240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x381d…818cbacked Over52c121.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.731040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over54c120.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.243246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under47c114.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under29c114$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.79442.6%40 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Over54c108.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.633043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5084…40a4backed Over54c108.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.842748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under47c100.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0619848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under48c99.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6819653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.046556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over54c95.36$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.794146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over54c95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.538547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Over54c93.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.043348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.86653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Over49c78.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.184955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b17…a150backed Over54c77.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.651384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Over51c67.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.967361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c65.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.875,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Over50c56.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.032853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Under46c50.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.066349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2489146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under46c49.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.995650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Over54c43.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.921250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64055%22 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over51c39.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.421059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over73c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…68f6backed Over54c37.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.441233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over53c34.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.164,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over54c32.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.131471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under48c32.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4912054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc677…677abacked Under47c31.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under40c29.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x8025…c036backed Under47c29.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.871926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Under47c29.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.855763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Over54c27.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.774746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x455b…2d47backed Over54c25.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadca…58debacked Under47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under47c21.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c21.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5397447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.