Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb46ffe7f780a6cc6d8cde62f1be9707465db94143eab22b6fb8f8b87e0ca10f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8f9…a476backed Yes | 3c | 619.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…f521backed Yes | 19c | 537.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafe…db76backed Yes | 23c | 256.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 78c | 241.43$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 72c | 178.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 74c | 150.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…8cedbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…5ae8backed No | 73c | 131.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 115.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79c…f6c6backed Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…6bfdbacked Yes | 27c | 56.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 26c | 41.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?this page
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.