Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac3289e7b11977efbe077ffc9bc9e37586c97b2ecbb39f062586af2645fc104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a3b…71e2backed Yes | 33c | 1,062$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 61c | 785.26$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f9…a476backed Yes | 3c | 572.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 399.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…5ae8backed Yes | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 59c | 340.46$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…9002backed Yes | 5c | 301.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 26c | 299.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…e166backed Yes | 39c | 253.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…9a17backed No | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 215$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 66c | 195.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 67c | 173.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 72c | 160.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 60c | 150.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed Yes | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…d327backed Yes | 26c | 135.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 63c | 135.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 59c | 115.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 31c | 105.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed No | 64c | 97.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 31c | 91.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed No | 61c | 82.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 29c | 76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…0f94backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked No | 61c | 67.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd1…a583backed Yes | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 38c | 60.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 60c | 60.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed No | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…2147backed Yes | 41c | 47.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked No | 61c | 40.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…fbe2backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1e…cf5fbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…3664backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed No | 74c | 35.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dec…f8b9backed Yes | 41c | 33.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 44c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…aeddbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…201dbacked Yes | 40c | 31.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 38c | 26.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…afefbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…66c7backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…ad95backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…03b1backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…160abacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 72c | 19.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?this page
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.