TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,751 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e32…18e6backed St. Louis Cardinals9c3,302$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked St. Louis Cardinals39c2,268$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.9850751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c2,187$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked St. Louis Cardinals47c1,573$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed St. Louis Cardinals74c1,428$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.4223036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates57c1,159$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.4646547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed St. Louis Cardinals46c1,095$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.7214953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pittsburgh Pirates5c1,046$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.143929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pittsburgh Pirates41c966.54$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9955541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates28c918.55$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.051,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c904.06$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8440846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed St. Louis Cardinals40c899.77$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c738.32$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.0666448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed St. Louis Cardinals43c733.75$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.4184049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Pittsburgh Pirates22c553.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7354715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Pittsburgh Pirates27c501.85$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1386850%34 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b68…6f4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pittsburgh Pirates55c450$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4920548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed St. Louis Cardinals43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22849450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals72c337.01$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8147745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates50c335$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.769751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0463…a137backed St. Louis Cardinals40c326$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6470…85f3backed Pittsburgh Pirates62c322.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x461f…582fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a89…bfddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed St. Louis Cardinals46c271.21$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.566254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked St. Louis Cardinals56c270.18$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9514251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pittsburgh Pirates56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed St. Louis Cardinals66c231$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.757750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates32c219.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.036,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals41c209.85$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.153,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed St. Louis Cardinals37c202.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8868846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd6…3779backed Pittsburgh Pirates61c199.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c178.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.044757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked St. Louis Cardinals39c175$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+77.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates26c164.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.23,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50d3…af3ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x826d…9947backed Pittsburgh Pirates62c149.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed St. Louis Cardinals39c144.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.067462.2%46 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates37c137.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.161,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates54c118.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.642,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c117.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3972247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed St. Louis Cardinals77c115.32$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7744745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pittsburgh Pirates53c112$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6431038.4%119 W · 191 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7340…4656backed Pittsburgh Pirates61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dbe…2516backed Pittsburgh Pirates61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5806…5863backed Pittsburgh Pirates61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x726c…6bfdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0421748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked St. Louis Cardinals38c78.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed St. Louis Cardinals60c78.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5521842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed St. Louis Cardinals39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9267453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates62c76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1235240.3%142 W · 210 L-23.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates26c74.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.381,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked St. Louis Cardinals54c69.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7647345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Pittsburgh Pirates28c67.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.941,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed St. Louis Cardinals38c65.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6637048.9%181 W · 189 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Pittsburgh Pirates54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.33735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates61c59.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates63c54.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc6…fc33backed Pittsburgh Pirates56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Pittsburgh Pirates55c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3210353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked St. Louis Cardinals73c50.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.566100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+118.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked St. Louis Cardinals59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.583248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Pittsburgh Pirates62c49.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6d6…fcd8backed Pittsburgh Pirates40c49.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed St. Louis Cardinals40c49.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.751,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed St. Louis Cardinals66c48.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2795041.5%394 W · 556 L-48.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked St. Louis Cardinals38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4750949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Pittsburgh Pirates61c38.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5625648%123 W · 133 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked St. Louis Cardinals56c37.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c37.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3784122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b05…47c0backed St. Louis Cardinals73c37.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf680…f435backed Pittsburgh Pirates34c35.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked St. Louis Cardinals39c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3530740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed St. Louis Cardinals40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Louis Cardinals44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates49c20.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.142462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked St. Louis Cardinals56c20.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.06785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.