TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexican Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Mattia Bellucci

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bellucciof Hijikata, Bellucci
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Hijikata50c9,541$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.591,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bellucci46c5,734$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.312,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hijikata26c2,510$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.042,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Bellucci56c2,313$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.346,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Bellucci48c2,245$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.3443051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hijikata39c1,834$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.453,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Bellucci49c1,537$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.171,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hijikata13c1,434$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.462,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bellucci49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.3920542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Hijikata51c788.85$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.771,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Bellucci50c735.77$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2446030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bellucci37c654.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6481349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bellucci49c533$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4321338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Bellucci69c508.37$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.082,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Hijikata52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Hijikata50c431.07$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0424454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hijikata50c391.9$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.957,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7334…f912backed Bellucci58c386.8$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.36862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hijikata52c366.96$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1153058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Hijikata45c347$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.621,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Hijikata35c324.06$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4268026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…20a3backed Bellucci66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hijikata6c280.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3545147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Hijikata45c259$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4697046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Hijikata35c252.52$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.616,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hijikata50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Bellucci63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.524060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Bellucci74c236.49$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4950364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Hijikata7c236.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1411547%54 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Hijikata51c235$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.851,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Hijikata20c221.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Bellucci38c215.7$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.562,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Hijikata52c208.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3342046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bellucci41c204.84$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.166,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Bellucci50c200.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.95048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf337…609abacked Hijikata19c200.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.69016.7%15 W · 75 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Hijikata52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10428747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Hijikata27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e81…a0e9backed Hijikata43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Hijikata39c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bellucci61c172.44$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.537,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Hijikata51c162.87$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0632147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c2…9bf1backed Hijikata26c156.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401650%8 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+49.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Bellucci66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Hijikata50c136.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.135750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Hijikata52c126.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6635268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hijikata12c124.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.656,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hijikata20c117.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.474,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hijikata51c109.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.097,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Bellucci74c100.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.813,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Hijikata50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Hijikata51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5140744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Hijikata52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5226247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fa…98f1backed Bellucci50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hijikata50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.525957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Hijikata51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Hijikata26c97.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.515242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Hijikata52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041846.2%193 W · 225 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e57…b822backed Hijikata52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Hijikata52c86.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8812245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Bellucci48c77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0438133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Bellucci53c75.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.874,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Hijikata37c72.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2784963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hijikata65c69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.911,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x726c…6bfdbacked Bellucci49c67.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5931…b2cebacked Bellucci49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Hijikata31c61.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.922,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Hijikata48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hijikata24c59.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.122,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aee…7ed5backed Hijikata52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Bellucci41c56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Bellucci51c50.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7553752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Hijikata51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7328462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Hijikata68c49.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9327546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Hijikata51c43.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1568951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2d…ee4cbacked Hijikata47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd33f…159cbacked Bellucci73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.14551.1%23 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8425…b8f9backed Bellucci49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa3…5d5cbacked Hijikata27c40.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bellucci48c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.134745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Hijikata33c36.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9110749.5%53 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Bellucci77c32.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3630254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hijikata52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Hijikata51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.329947.5%142 W · 157 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Hijikata51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517354.3%94 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Hijikata49c24.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9212548%60 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Hijikata52c20.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6626244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9735…9b4ebacked Bellucci49c20.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Hijikata51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.277047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.