TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea2d…ee4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
271
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT9656.3%54 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$42.81
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.38
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.86
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.47
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.19
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$18.93
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$33.27
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Diane Parry vs Venus Williamsbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.16
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
BNP Paribas Open: Mariano Navone vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Thionville: Roman Safiullin vs Timofey Skatovbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+94.9%+$37.96
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Mexican Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Mattia Belluccibacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Merida Open Akron: Priscilla Hon vs Renata Zarazuabacked Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Dubai Tennis Championships: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Otto Virtanenbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Emilio Navabacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$18.03
Delray Beach Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$36.43
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Paula Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marin Cilicbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$89.36
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.48
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.68
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.74
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+127.3%+$44.55
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nicholls Colonels vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owlsbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.71
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$10.91
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.86
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.32
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Harry Hardwick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Piera Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.57
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.9%+$11.17
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.4
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+105.7%+$35.14
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$18.38
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$41.09
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$9.03
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$37.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.