Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38acc5c9e1c0f5638097094abd35c7f8ee42cc6d6a26c392f2d5959170cd2a0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 41c | 47,916$19,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,794.91 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 61c | 30,748$18,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,048.06 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed PARIVISION | 59c | 23,395$13,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,591.77 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 17,097$10,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,062.77 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 80c | 11,111$8,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.2 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked MOUZ | 20c | 10,823$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 42c | 9,381$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.57 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed PARIVISION | 77c | 5,161$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.27 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked MOUZ | 39c | 3,712$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.51 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…98fcbacked MOUZ | 39c | 3,488$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked MOUZ | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed MOUZ | 12c | 3,238$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed MOUZ | 20c | 3,081$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.69 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1279…ff3ebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 3,014$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MOUZ | 41c | 2,976$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 2,710$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.41 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked MOUZ | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 2,420$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 2,420$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.39 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 38c | 2,283$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.76 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed PARIVISION | 57c | 2,151$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.5 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 1,920$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,845$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,650$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed PARIVISION | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,393$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,279$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.62 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,090$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,008$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.28 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed MOUZ | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed MOUZ | 33c | 937$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…a9e5backed MOUZ | 39c | 907$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…c521backed MOUZ | 39c | 887$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 21c | 885.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.88 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ | 6c | 884$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…a119backed MOUZ | 39c | 863$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 64c | 841.1$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.12 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed MOUZ | 19c | 753.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 41c | 729.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed MOUZ | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 707$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.1 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…2ce0backed MOUZ | 41c | 689$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked MOUZ | 37c | 634.25$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed PARIVISION | 58c | 617.71$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.44 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed PARIVISION | 62c | 616$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.64 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed MOUZ | 39c | 594.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 537.83$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…5c79backed MOUZ | 41c | 532$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed PARIVISION | 59c | 509.61$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed MOUZ | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184c…be31backed PARIVISION | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…bfd4backed PARIVISION | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e6…911dbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 498$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…1285backed MOUZ | 40c | 492.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589b…f41cbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 488$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…71d8backed PARIVISION | 61c | 486$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed PARIVISION | 62c | 485.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.41 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…5504backed MOUZ | 41c | 476.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…4d0ebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 474$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed MOUZ | 41c | 470$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MOUZ | 33c | 454.09$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 22c | 427.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…2d4bbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 409$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…8c85backed MOUZ | 42c | 400.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…e528backed PARIVISION | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…5a76backed PARIVISION | 61c | 399$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed PARIVISION | 61c | 383.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed PARIVISION | 58c | 380$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…4525backed PARIVISION | 61c | 377$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…100abacked PARIVISION | 59c | 347$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…2fd4backed PARIVISION | 59c | 342$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…1ab1backed PARIVISION | 57c | 314$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…61d9backed MOUZ | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…01b2backed PARIVISION | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 58c | 299.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 299.25$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed MOUZ | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed MOUZ | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION | 59c | 242$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ | 40c | 240.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed MOUZ | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…93c6backed PARIVISION | 59c | 232$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed MOUZ | 41c | 232$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed MOUZ | 39c | 230.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 208.28$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…61debacked MOUZ | 15c | 203.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…69d4backed PARIVISION | 59c | 199.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed MOUZ | 41c | 183.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked MOUZ | 41c | 183.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…203fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 183$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed MOUZ | 8c | 164$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed PARIVISION | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.