Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf06a11dd2edf2726000d4a6bb3dc690151123bd594f7d2b96712ed955a85c1b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 45c | 37,024$16,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,688.87 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION | 55c | 20,000$10,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,035.06 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 55c | 12,968$7,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,892.97 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 57c | 10,610$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.11 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed PARIVISION | 57c | 6,185$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.34 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 46c | 5,990$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.38 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 5,912$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.36 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ | 52c | 5,837$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036 | 541 | 51.8%280 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 53c | 5,497$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.08 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed PARIVISION | 60c | 3,295$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.4 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,550$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked MOUZ | 41c | 2,324$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.79 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked PARIVISION | 63c | 2,020$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,100$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,046$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.58 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed PARIVISION | 59c | 900.9$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked MOUZ | 47c | 842.55$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed PARIVISION | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked MOUZ | 42c | 720$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 70c | 689.99$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 30c | 669.87$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ | 36c | 656.52$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.35 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 4c | 629.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed PARIVISION | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed MOUZ | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed MOUZ | 44c | 435.57$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed PARIVISION | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed PARIVISION | 52c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 50c | 397.16$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.58 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 370.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 465 | 40.9%190 W · 275 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed MOUZ | 41c | 365$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f0…67c9backed PARIVISION | 59c | 365$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed PARIVISION | 66c | 345.68$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed MOUZ | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 39c | 315.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 308.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,250 | 44.4%555 W · 695 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 55c | 294.07$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 286.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed PARIVISION | 69c | 277.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 31c | 272.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed PARIVISION | 69c | 270$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed MOUZ | 46c | 248.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PARIVISION | 59c | 244.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked MOUZ | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked MOUZ | 44c | 227.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked MOUZ | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed MOUZ | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed MOUZ | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 63c | 203.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 2,835 | 43.6%1,237 W · 1,598 L | -39.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed PARIVISION | 54c | 161.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed MOUZ | 46c | 155.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…10acbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 144.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed MOUZ | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ | 47c | 121.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed MOUZ | 41c | 121.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed MOUZ | 25c | 117.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed MOUZ | 48c | 116.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked PARIVISION | 59c | 113$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed MOUZ | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 362 | 52.2%189 W · 173 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed MOUZ | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 972 | 42.8%416 W · 556 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed PARIVISION | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed PARIVISION | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MOUZ | 30c | 74.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ | 48c | 73.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed PARIVISION | 54c | 56.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked MOUZ | 40c | 53.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed MOUZ | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed PARIVISION | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed MOUZ | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed MOUZ | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed MOUZ | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed MOUZ | 47c | 36.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed PARIVISION | 55c | 36.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed PARIVISION | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked PARIVISION | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked MOUZ | 48c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked MOUZ | 49c | 20.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 761 | 48.5%369 W · 392 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked MOUZ | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.