Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0751472f921548cab8ef8dce2fa837d84a57913a64025d6be19fe83bfb6866d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 18,348$10,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,896.27 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 48c | 15,669$7,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,597.92 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 2c | 10,600$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed MOUZ | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 57c | 8,194$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.93 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed PARIVISION | 60c | 7,066$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.81 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed MOUZ | 45c | 6,730$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 44c | 6,420$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.8 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 43c | 3,999$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.71 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked MOUZ | 57c | 3,810$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.13 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 54c | 3,718$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.19 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 42c | 3,493$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 43c | 2,776$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.04 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 41c | 2,090$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.14 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION | 79c | 2,053$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.74 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed PARIVISION | 72c | 2,022$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.07 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,858$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.87 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked PARIVISION | 58c | 1,728$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.17 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,536$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.84 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,517$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 1,513$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.86 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,462$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.72 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,395$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.08 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed PARIVISION | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.79 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,230$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.69 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 1,228$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.05 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,219$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,077$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.75 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 902.56$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed MOUZ | 46c | 868.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed MOUZ | 32c | 659$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed MOUZ | 61c | 656.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 46c | 653.18$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.65 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed PARIVISION | 56c | 445.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.02 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 26c | 438.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 23c | 433.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 432.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.93 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed MOUZ | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed PARIVISION | 56c | 380$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 380$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed PARIVISION | 58c | 355$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.69 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed PARIVISION | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed PARIVISION | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 49c | 343.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked MOUZ | 41c | 330$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed PARIVISION | 76c | 306.34$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed PARIVISION | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed PARIVISION | 52c | 268.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 267.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked MOUZ | 41c | 264$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 229.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed PARIVISION | 45c | 209$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed PARIVISION | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…48a9backed PARIVISION | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed PARIVISION | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed PARIVISION | 56c | 187.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed PARIVISION | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked MOUZ | 51c | 168.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed MOUZ | 49c | 158.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed MOUZ | 58c | 156.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed PARIVISION | 78c | 139.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked MOUZ | 42c | 136.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 38c | 130.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ | 49c | 125.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed PARIVISION | 62c | 115.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed PARIVISION | 53c | 113.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ | 47c | 108.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked PARIVISION | 76c | 102.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed MOUZ | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed MOUZ | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed PARIVISION | 52c | 95.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed MOUZ | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 82.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked MOUZ | 58c | 75.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ | 42c | 72.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 72.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 53c | 72.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MOUZ | 34c | 61.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed MOUZ | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…bfe1backed MOUZ | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…f574backed MOUZ | 58c | 53.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed PARIVISION | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed MOUZ | 55c | 51.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed PARIVISION | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…5fc4backed MOUZ | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…b7d0backed PARIVISION | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed MOUZ | 45c | 45.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed MOUZ | 50c | 44.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.