Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83810df26842cb03fcc1bd2928ad665d7880b5e1226efdf70d0612bd7648819f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mackenzie McDonaldof Matteo Arnaldi, Mackenzie McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,601 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb940…e6a2backed Mackenzie McDonald | 60c | 20,156$12,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,060.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd89…5901backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 20,156$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,062.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 60c | 6,107$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.96 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 12c | 5,208$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.87 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Matteo Arnaldi | 20c | 3,252$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.2 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 2,262$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.77 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 2,190$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.84 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 2,088$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.59 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,973$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.1 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 71c | 1,860$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.5 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 1,812$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.3 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 61c | 1,637$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.65 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Matteo Arnaldi | 9c | 1,601$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 1,409$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 1,248$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.61 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 11c | 1,218$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mackenzie McDonald | 80c | 1,148$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,069$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.69 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 952$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.36 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 929.13$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.53 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 60c | 839.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.55 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 837.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.48 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Mackenzie McDonald | 55c | 832.97$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.9 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Mackenzie McDonald | 54c | 684.84$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.03 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Mackenzie McDonald | 59c | 620.21$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.58 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 599.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 571.01$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.56 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Mackenzie McDonald | 55c | 556.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.4 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Mackenzie McDonald | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Mackenzie McDonald | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 499.6$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Matteo Arnaldi | 20c | 494.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Matteo Arnaldi | 8c | 486.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 468.45$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mackenzie McDonald | 56c | 440.46$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.73 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 2c | 433.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…1942backed Mackenzie McDonald | 59c | 433.32$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Mackenzie McDonald | 61c | 368.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mackenzie McDonald | 54c | 366$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 16c | 334$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 327.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 14c | 325$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 314$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 307.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 270$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 31c | 266.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Mackenzie McDonald | 59c | 252.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 225.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 12c | 215.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…37f6backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 210.73$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 208.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 202.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Mackenzie McDonald | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Mackenzie McDonald | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 194.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 190$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Mackenzie McDonald | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 176.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Mackenzie McDonald | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 164.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Matteo Arnaldi | 25c | 153.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 146.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 140.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Matteo Arnaldi | 20c | 129$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Mackenzie McDonald | 56c | 129$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 126.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 121.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 58c | 115$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Mackenzie McDonald | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 107.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Matteo Arnaldi | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Mackenzie McDonald | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…91e7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 88.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…c5acbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…b642backed Mackenzie McDonald | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 61c | 80.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 67.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 54c | 65.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 62.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McDonaldthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs McDonaldMcDonald won
- Set Handicap: McDonald (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)McDonald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.