Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Kamil Majchrzak
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44829860b1c750bcb67eec1656d9462f89a65827f647fb056f6f83613dcab480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Popyrinof Popyrin, Majchrzak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $389,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Majchrzak | 70c | 39,500$27,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,649.98 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Majchrzak | 22c | 21,282$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,787.45 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Majchrzak | 39c | 18,800$7,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,286.95 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Popyrin | 48c | 16,255$7,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.16 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Popyrin | 53c | 15,529$8,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,229.84 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Popyrin | 67c | 15,037$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.67 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Majchrzak | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Popyrin | 37c | 11,340$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,144.19 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Majchrzak | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 648 | 55.2%358 W · 290 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Majchrzak | 48c | 8,500$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.99 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Majchrzak | 46c | 8,415$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.07 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Popyrin | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Popyrin | 59c | 7,259$4,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.88 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Popyrin | 61c | 7,154$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.08 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Majchrzak | 14c | 5,579$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.21 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Majchrzak | 21c | 4,692$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.91 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Majchrzak | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Majchrzak | 29c | 3,980$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Popyrin | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Popyrin | 52c | 3,050$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Majchrzak | 34c | 2,731$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.18 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Majchrzak | 46c | 2,693$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.78 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Popyrin | 44c | 2,580$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Majchrzak | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Majchrzak | 46c | 2,430$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.8 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Majchrzak | 46c | 2,413$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Popyrin | 57c | 2,194$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Popyrin | 62c | 2,117$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.58 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Popyrin | 54c | 2,017$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.47 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Popyrin | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Popyrin | 55c | 1,911$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.66 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Popyrin | 56c | 1,896$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.24 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Majchrzak | 46c | 1,819$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.88 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Popyrin | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Popyrin | 55c | 1,592$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.52 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Popyrin | 66c | 1,552$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.55 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Popyrin | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Popyrin | 58c | 1,471$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.05 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Popyrin | 41c | 1,466$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.81 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Popyrin | 53c | 1,425$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.53 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Majchrzak | 38c | 1,400$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Popyrin | 44c | 1,378$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.13 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Majchrzak | 32c | 1,363$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.02 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Popyrin | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Majchrzak | 45c | 1,241$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.44 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Majchrzak | 47c | 1,240$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.53 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Majchrzak | 39c | 1,156$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.83 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde21…594dbacked Popyrin | 52c | 1,146$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.08 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Popyrin | 53c | 1,129$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.35 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Majchrzak | 47c | 1,087$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.88 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Majchrzak | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Majchrzak | 41c | 1,062$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.47 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Majchrzak | 24c | 1,008$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Popyrin | 53c | 979.49$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.49 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Popyrin | 52c | 959.63$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.62 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Popyrin | 62c | 958$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.17 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Popyrin | 43c | 953$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.89 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Popyrin | 66c | 911.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.33 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Majchrzak | 13c | 886.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Majchrzak | 46c | 883$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.18 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Popyrin | 57c | 882.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.92 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Popyrin | 54c | 850$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Majchrzak | 33c | 803.41$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…d7a0backed Majchrzak | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Majchrzak | 49c | 716.73$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.67 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Popyrin | 53c | 677.58$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.01 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Majchrzak | 49c | 616.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Popyrin | 55c | 600$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Majchrzak | 42c | 586.81$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.01 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Majchrzak | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Majchrzak | 46c | 529.26$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Majchrzak | 46c | 520$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Popyrin | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Majchrzak | 21c | 498.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Majchrzak | 64c | 484.36$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Popyrin | 55c | 466.35$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.47 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Majchrzak | 46c | 460$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Popyrin | 54c | 441.92$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Popyrin | 54c | 424.28$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Popyrin | 36c | 419.34$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Popyrin | 66c | 407.58$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Majchrzak | 29c | 385.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Popyrin | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Majchrzak | 47c | 375.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Popyrin | 32c | 373.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.46 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…e6b7backed Popyrin | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Popyrin | 53c | 368.68$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Majchrzak | 47c | 361.92$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…f81bbacked Majchrzak | 26c | 361.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Majchrzak | 29c | 361$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Popyrin | 57c | 350.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Popyrin | 62c | 317.1$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Majchrzak | 48c | 312.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Popyrin | 65c | 308.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Majchrzak | 42c | 302$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Popyrin | 65c | 294.82$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Majchrzak | 46c | 289.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Popyrin | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Popyrin | 53c | 277.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…2335backed Majchrzak | 47c | 277$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Kamil Majchrzakthis page
- Popyrin vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Popyrin vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Popyrin vs. Majchrzak: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)Popyrin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.