Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x953d479dafe660c44bb69a6e407c4d1ebddce927e42f0a66e2bf035f9b9176d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Illinois Fighting Illini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 33,893$18,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,433.47 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 23,950$10,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,989.6 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 23,000$12,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,579.99 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 14,971$8,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,913.71 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 13,287$6,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.98 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 12,472$5,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,737.32 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Michigan Wolverines | 56c | 10,175$5,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.13 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 9,172$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127.51 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 8,482$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.2 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 8,337$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.11 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 44c | 8,200$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.22 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 7,843$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.84 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.96 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 4,879$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.46 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 4,573$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.58 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 30c | 4,282$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.14 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 69c | 4,210$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 3,931$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.26 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 3,316$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.57 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.97 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 2,556$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.29 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan Wolverines | 65c | 2,312$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Michigan Wolverines | 72c | 2,301$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.22 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 19c | 2,246$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.66 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 2,152$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 25c | 1,973$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.68 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan Wolverines | 74c | 1,845$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.72 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 1,806$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x311c…d7cebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 8c | 1,453$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 28c | 1,384$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 1,298$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.99 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 1,292$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.31 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 1,205$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.15 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 1,187$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.64 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 1,185$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.97 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 1,071$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.85 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 1,069$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.58 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…31dbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 1,020$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 39c | 1,017$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 984.64$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.94 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 949.1$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.08 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 28c | 946.03$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 832.72$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.68 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 826.14$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.02 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 806.45$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.38 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 790.59$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.77 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 16c | 780$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 741.36$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 71c | 702.11$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.74 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 696.26$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.21 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 693.91$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 660.87$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Michigan Wolverines | 68c | 642.79$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.67 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 623.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 40c | 604.58$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 598.25$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.16 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 553.53$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.65 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 550.73$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 515.48$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 500.72$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.34 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 497.81$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 497.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.79 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 485.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 25c | 481.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 56c | 446.43$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 417.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 42c | 413.66$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 401$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…e466backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 395.11$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 393.13$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.91 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 374.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 367.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 366.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…cbc9backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 355.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 324.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…2aecbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 322.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 29c | 319.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 316.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…069fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 312.26$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 297.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…1f1cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 277.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 267.66$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 259.06$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Michigan Wolverines | 78c | 254.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524e…fe33backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 237.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 234.32$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 27c | 231.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 229.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines | 75c | 222.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 219.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 215.16$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 209.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 204.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Michigan Wolverines | 68c | 201.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 199.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinithis page
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 157.5Under won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 158.5Under won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 159.5Under won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 160.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.