TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Delray Beach Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex Michelsen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michelsenof Vacherot, Michelsen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$336,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dbf…53bebacked Michelsen50c42,596$21,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,297.871250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Vacherot51c40,532$20,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,566.1410541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Michelsen48c31,446$15,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,221.771,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Vacherot51c20,000$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,1006552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Vacherot23c12,235$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.662,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Michelsen51c11,800$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.6648851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michelsen70c10,286$7,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,129.157,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Michelsen73c10,044$7,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.881,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Vacherot50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Michelsen53c9,381$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,451.2193055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Vacherot52c8,875$4,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,594.7335247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vacherot13c8,754$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.868,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Michelsen48c7,259$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc70…7f2abacked Vacherot39c5,696$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.661241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Vacherot40c5,022$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0293,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Michelsen48c4,444$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.8876146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Vacherot16c4,266$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.922,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Vacherot50c4,120$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.1113934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Vacherot53c3,753$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.531040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Vacherot34c3,510$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.126541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Vacherot34c3,413$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.1997046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Michelsen48c3,080$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.5528338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Vacherot51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.996350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Michelsen71c2,873$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.0352037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Vacherot4c2,222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Vacherot52c1,979$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.881050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Vacherot52c1,922$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabdb…3114backed Vacherot43c1,846$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.932445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Michelsen58c1,591$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.7681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vacherot24c1,578$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3365647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Vacherot53c1,550$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.4755646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Vacherot45c1,505$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.2410547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Vacherot52c1,501$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.281241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Vacherot49c1,464$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.9138133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Vacherot44c1,300$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.916133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Vacherot41c1,264$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52419637.2%73 W · 123 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc05e…37cbbacked Vacherot51c1,236$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcec6…db44backed Vacherot5c1,148$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Michelsen51c1,145$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.2257645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Vacherot52c1,145$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.9246553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Vacherot52c1,144$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Vacherot53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Michelsen50c1,034$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.441540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Vacherot43c1,025$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.518439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Michelsen49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.07837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+75%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Michelsen51c1,001$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.8714568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8d8…1496backed Vacherot50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Michelsen50c973$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.231,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Vacherot52c958.24$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Michelsen62c880$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.447057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Michelsen71c844.35$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.861,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Vacherot53c843.02$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44620257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Vacherot49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8566949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Vacherot50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vacherot18c777.74$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.176,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Vacherot52c762.17$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Michelsen57c751.28$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.42,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Vacherot28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011428.9%33 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Vacherot28c633$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Michelsen48c620.5$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.414,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Vacherot34c591.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Vacherot51c587.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8438348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Vacherot52c575$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29945457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Vacherot52c546.44$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7710557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Vacherot47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Michelsen62c504.08$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4514947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb3…380ebacked Michelsen49c502.5$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+76.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Vacherot49c501.02$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5255241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Vacherot14c450.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.29543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Vacherot53c435.44$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Michelsen47c428.09$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.337,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Michelsen51c426.58$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.011,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Michelsen74c412.72$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.736,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Vacherot49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Vacherot49c404.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Vacherot49c402.16$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8113052.3%68 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Michelsen50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20039438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vacherot50c387$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.51,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Michelsen52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6259165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfed…9980backed Vacherot52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Vacherot44c366.96$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.167239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Michelsen71c353.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6239872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Michelsen49c353.06$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0619653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Michelsen48c333.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3343448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Michelsen72c322$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3723847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Michelsen49c313$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4924634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Vacherot32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Vacherot33c303.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007618.4%14 W · 62 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vacherot50c300.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Vacherot41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12318636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Michelsen51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14728747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Michelsen55c299.95$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9821843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Vacherot46c285.78$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4611454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x752e…8840backed Vacherot32c282.22$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Michelsen56c269.38$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5212951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vacherot43c269.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5849143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Vacherot21c264$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.441,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f25…442cbacked Vacherot30c256$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.85928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Vacherot50c236$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11843242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Michelsen49c231$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8118548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.