Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drake Bulldogs vs. UIC Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d32a33b964d2e883add00fef0a6a295985268b4c887da2b33f92a26dacf68ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UIC Flamesof Drake Bulldogs, UIC Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,434 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed UIC Flames | 78c | 13,488$10,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.95 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Drake Bulldogs | 22c | 10,097$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Drake Bulldogs | 24c | 3,411$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.7 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Drake Bulldogs | 25c | 1,845$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.16 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Drake Bulldogs | 32c | 1,522$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.92 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UIC Flames | 73c | 1,512$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UIC Flames | 75c | 1,071$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UIC Flames | 74c | 703.78$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.83 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UIC Flames | 64c | 662.9$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.64 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Drake Bulldogs | 22c | 558.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 551.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.55 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UIC Flames | 79c | 488.53$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Drake Bulldogs | 32c | 472.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed UIC Flames | 68c | 452.41$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 396.9$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UIC Flames | 66c | 363.89$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UIC Flames | 73c | 300.59$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UIC Flames | 75c | 299.82$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 31c | 250.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UIC Flames | 66c | 241.09$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…3944backed Drake Bulldogs | 17c | 229.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Drake Bulldogs | 21c | 221.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Drake Bulldogs | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UIC Flames | 71c | 193$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Drake Bulldogs | 32c | 184.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Drake Bulldogs | 35c | 144.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 136.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 35c | 126.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Drake Bulldogs | 34c | 116.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UIC Flames | 67c | 114.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed UIC Flames | 65c | 90.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UIC Flames | 68c | 90.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed UIC Flames | 68c | 72.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Drake Bulldogs | 21c | 65.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 20c | 65.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UIC Flames | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked UIC Flames | 68c | 58.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drake Bulldogs | 21c | 56.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UIC Flames | 79c | 55.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Drake Bulldogs | 22c | 52.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed UIC Flames | 68c | 49.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed UIC Flames | 73c | 46.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…6bfdbacked UIC Flames | 64c | 46.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 45.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UIC Flames | 75c | 39.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked UIC Flames | 73c | 35.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked UIC Flames | 65c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Drake Bulldogs vs. UIC Flamesthis page
- Drake Bulldogs vs. UIC Flames: O/U 140.5Under won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. UIC Flames: O/U 141.5Under won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. UIC Flames: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: UIC Flames (-5.5)UIC Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.