NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d5f0e0fe450451cd34c95430214d5f53be3823bc505b44dc4073117103b2c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Grizzlies, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 51c | 72,459$36,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,778.79 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Wizards | 52c | 44,298$23,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,111.14 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2faf…92dcbacked Wizards | 48c | 17,915$8,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,315.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Wizards | 53c | 14,955$7,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028.85 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 14,400$6,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,768 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Wizards | 48c | 12,247$5,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,368.34 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 48c | 11,867$5,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,657.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 48c | 8,627$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 5,559$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Wizards | 51c | 3,764$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.89 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards | 49c | 3,684$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.78 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,122$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 49c | 2,052$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.3 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Wizards | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,543$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,490$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.34 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,113$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 1,031$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.46 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 38c | 1,011$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Wizards | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Wizards | 53c | 906.82$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.82 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 634$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wizards | 52c | 620$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Wizards | 49c | 604.08$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.08 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Wizards | 50c | 596.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.97 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Wizards | 52c | 578$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Wizards | 11c | 562$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.18 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 555$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Wizards | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 49c | 289.32$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wizards | 47c | 237.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Wizards | 51c | 215.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Wizards | 51c | 199.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Grizzlies | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Grizzlies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…d7e3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…4085backed Wizards | 54c | 153.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 151.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Wizards | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 52c | 107.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies | 45c | 105.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Wizards | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…5d26backed Grizzlies | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Grizzlies | 52c | 95.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Grizzlies | 37c | 81.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 48c | 79.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 49c | 59.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 51c | 58.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Wizards | 52c | 57.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Wizards | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Wizards | 47c | 46.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Grizzlies | 47c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 42.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Grizzlies | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards | 59c | 40.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…f268backed Wizards | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Wizards | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Wizards | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Wizards | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Grizzlies | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…b10bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 27.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Wizards | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Grizzlies | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…ec0ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Wizards | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…0803backed Grizzlies | 53c | 19.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. WizardsWizards won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.