NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcf08ac73b7401b79c91dbe970eace7e2e81e0909a289e12b127220c3d5803ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Grizzlies, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 55c | 23,413$12,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,907.9 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 45c | 10,776$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,978.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 45c | 9,325$4,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Wizards | 44c | 4,584$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.88 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards | 44c | 2,900$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 51c | 2,406$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.89 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 47c | 2,255$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…e970backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3f64backed Wizards | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Wizards | 50c | 1,555$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Wizards | 47c | 1,546$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.37 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Grizzlies | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Wizards | 63c | 800$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.1 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Grizzlies | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 51c | 636$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.72 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 44c | 588$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Wizards | 51c | 584.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.52 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 36c | 454.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Wizards | 44c | 390.91$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 45c | 364.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Wizards | 62c | 321.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 36c | 305.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 44c | 269.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards | 53c | 247.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Wizards | 65c | 216.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Wizards | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 200.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 45c | 196.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Grizzlies | 55c | 182.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies | 48c | 159$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Wizards | 44c | 151$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Grizzlies | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…0df0backed Grizzlies | 54c | 148.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 136.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 131.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Wizards | 43c | 124.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Wizards | 43c | 116.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Wizards | 46c | 110.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Grizzlies | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 105$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Wizards | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…92b3backed Grizzlies | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 47c | 95.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 95.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Grizzlies | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Wizards | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Wizards | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…5d26backed Grizzlies | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Wizards | 43c | 82.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wizards | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Wizards | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Wizards | 44c | 64.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Wizards | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 45c | 55.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Wizards | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…aed0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Grizzlies | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 42.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Wizards | 46c | 41.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 45c | 40.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 37.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Grizzlies | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…6471backed Grizzlies | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Grizzlies | 36c | 32.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards | 45c | 32.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Wizards | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…1720backed Wizards | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Grizzlies | 54c | 27.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Grizzlies | 38c | 27.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 45c | 26.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Wizards | 46c | 21.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 19.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…0803backed Grizzlies | 57c | 18.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…8129backed Grizzlies | 57c | 17.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. WizardsWizards won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.