NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd2ef9d9af13aae0478d5ba7ac4d35861d1dd64374ff1d4d46e74282ccf23f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Grizzlies, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,608,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,894,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,608,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Wizards | 30c | 166,711$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,710.94 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Wizards | 30c | 120,825$36,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,771.23 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Grizzlies | 71c | 75,000$53,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,249.97 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Wizards | 80c | 60,995$48,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,363.53 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Wizards | 29c | 60,216$17,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,523.49 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Grizzlies | 38c | 50,427$19,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,115.74 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 45,562$32,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,055.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 63c | 34,523$21,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,746.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Wizards | 29c | 34,456$10,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,401.15 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 61c | 32,566$19,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,843.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 1c | 32,128$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.78 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 24,282$16,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,935.68 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 70c | 21,430$15,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,048.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Grizzlies | 70c | 21,400$15,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,003.49 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 38c | 20,576$7,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,771.64 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Grizzlies | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,200 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Wizards | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,200 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 69c | 18,882$13,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,103.74 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 17,500$12,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,425 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Grizzlies | 60c | 16,555$9,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,970 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 16,000$11,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,329.81 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 1c | 15,640$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 23c | 13,462$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.66 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Wizards | 60c | 12,966$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.94 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 72c | 11,229$8,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,080.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 11,123$7,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,897.33 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Grizzlies | 70c | 10,500$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.97 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Grizzlies | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies | 31c | 9,596$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.38 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 9,549$6,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,716.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 58c | 8,349$4,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Grizzlies | 70c | 8,300$5,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.98 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Wizards | 29c | 7,382$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,248.38 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed Grizzlies | 70c | 7,257$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 39c | 7,008$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.21 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 66c | 6,771$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,473.54 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Grizzlies | 65c | 6,472$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.1 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 29c | 6,100$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Wizards | 53c | 5,824$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.46 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 5,606$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.94 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Grizzlies | 18c | 5,569$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.95 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Grizzlies | 38c | 5,295$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,160$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 5,152$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.38 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 30c | 5,122$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.58 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Wizards | 33c | 5,117$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.61 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 0c | 5,077$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Wizards | 38c | 5,004$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Wizards | 60c | 4,665$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.62 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Grizzlies | 72c | 4,648$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.08 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Wizards | 29c | 4,428$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.23 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Grizzlies | 71c | 4,401$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Grizzlies | 70c | 3,971$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 3,897$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.36 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards | 31c | 3,643$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.14 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Grizzlies | 66c | 3,608$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.31 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…aab4backed Grizzlies | 70c | 3,600$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 3,529$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Grizzlies | 70c | 3,500$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.98 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Wizards | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Grizzlies | 64c | 3,070$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.01 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Wizards | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.97 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Wizards | 32c | 2,936$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.84 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Wizards | 35c | 2,880$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards | 33c | 2,825$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Wizards | 29c | 2,754$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.66 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 26c | 2,745$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.02 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 2,647$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.57 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Grizzlies | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies | 57c | 2,469$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.26 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 2,466$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 2,438$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.26 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Wizards | 72c | 2,352$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.49 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…b60dbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 2,300$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Wizards | 30c | 2,109$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.46 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed Grizzlies | 71c | 2,033$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.61 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 27c | 2,018$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.12 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Grizzlies | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Grizzlies | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies | 30c | 2,000$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.09 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards | 29c | 2,000$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.99 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Grizzlies | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Wizards | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.97 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Wizards | 28c | 1,900$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.66 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 1,807$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.93 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Grizzlies | 72c | 1,800$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Wizards | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…e09cbacked Wizards | 30c | 1,800$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Grizzlies | 79c | 1,728$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.14 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 35c | 1,711$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.3 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…249abacked Grizzlies | 66c | 1,706$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.42 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9d…9a5abacked Wizards | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Wizards | 12c | 1,690$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.06 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Wizardsthis page
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.