TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs49c14,758$7,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,304.2110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Knicks49c10,148$4,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,175.368439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs54c7,533$4,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,091.32,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks54c4,500$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9928056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks53c4,393$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.7119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs43c4,146$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.6955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks54c3,309$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.2164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks53c3,188$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.1293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks58c2,493$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.871,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs45c2,000$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.042,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs54c1,828$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.326038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks64c1,741$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.7725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Knicks53c1,521$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.2611440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks52c1,160$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks62c1,140$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.771,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs54c1,123$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.191,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaca…23d7backed Spurs33c1,060$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.83333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38018643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Knicks66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34011946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Knicks53c945.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.8511939.5%47 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs56c892.85$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs48c887.9$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.995349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d4…b79fbacked Spurs38c777$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.267149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks62c717.56$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs59c700$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.3565762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs38c642.54$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9732654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Spurs50c578.09$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs38c542.1$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs55c538.44$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1425150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Spurs48c525.15$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.914746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs48c499.84$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.481,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Spurs34c474.06$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.186346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Knicks51c423.52$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks53c390.71$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Knicks52c380.11$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.453644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs54c378.5$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3915648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks54c367.93$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.671,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs40c356.94$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks65c333.78$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7962144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Knicks66c329.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks49c326$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.262,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs34c319.87$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Knicks60c296.23$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8922844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Knicks64c240$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.46437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb6…f256backed Knicks44c228.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.092254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs36c203.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.261,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Knicks54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9216547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Knicks50c198$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.284151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs35c190.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.591,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Knicks58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4111450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Knicks49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks56c167$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.277360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs33c161.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs35c160.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks62c160.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks64c157.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x847c…9ff8backed Knicks50c151.46$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.731181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+53.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Spurs36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545650%28 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks73c143.26$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks44c130.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8422753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Knicks55c128.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks41c126.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8418140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs40c115.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8116…815ebacked Knicks65c107$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.526264.5%40 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Knicks50c106$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs49c103.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2325340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…b241backed Knicks62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3815950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbc…1545backed Knicks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs54c92.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Knicks59c89.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.831957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Knicks51c89.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.673537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs35c85.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Knicks59c84.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.744431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Knicks59c84.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.741952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Knicks59c83.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.171546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks67c81.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.811,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.59956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeed8…82f3backed Spurs37c72.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs40c62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Spurs54c60.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick58cpaid-57%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Knicks59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.323333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa69f…6874backed Knicks73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc516…7f3abacked Spurs37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014043.6%61 W · 79 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Spurs36c50.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.355459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Knicks65c50.07$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.532147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Spurs50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f31…2d48backed Knicks57c49.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Knicks64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Spurs35c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks64c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Knicks59c42.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Knicks50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Spurs50c39.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.66714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick57cpaid-73.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Knicks65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.462373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x49e5…b660backed Knicks52c38.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.186258.1%36 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.