Movies · resolved market

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb04518ed7253d503fe3ede528f19c023bf6c3190f63da4039fe96a8c61ee263

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,104 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe962…663abacked Yes	3c	8,761$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.83	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	11cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb1…3020backed Yes	1c	3,300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c1…825fbacked Yes	2c	2,772$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.03	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed Yes	17c	2,018$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.13	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	39c	1,871$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.48	473	28.3%134 W · 339 L	-32.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9afc…314bbacked Yes	3c	1,583$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.66	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	3c	1,366$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.43	49	0%0 W · 49 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	1,294$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.55	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb028…8686backed Yes	4c	1,278$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.84	236	39.8%94 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb8…b136backed Yes	1c	1,200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes	42c	1,194$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.17	77	35.1%27 W · 50 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	65c	1,001$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.96	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf1…7195backed Yes	11c	842.97$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.37	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes	18c	795.53$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.63	150	54.7%82 W · 68 L	+30.5wins	+0.20per pick	34cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	781.26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	26c	757.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.24	195	32.8%64 W · 131 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes	7c	704.75$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.36	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes	5c	698.57$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.77	144	25.7%37 W · 107 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes	9c	692.31$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5533…8220backed Yes	25c	671.7$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.95	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8eb…8473backed Yes	3c	650$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e78…c340backed Yes	5c	647.65$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	29c	600$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	23c	593.28$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.8	191	33%63 W · 128 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6883…b69bbacked Yes	4c	558.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No	66c	542.81$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.12	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc193…5160backed Yes	29c	511.64$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes	37c	507.2$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.35	326	39.3%128 W · 198 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x147f…49edbacked Yes	4c	477.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes	3c	476.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes	6c	471.15$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.54	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf638…aa50backed Yes	4c	465.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes	22c	445.44$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.78	170	17.1%29 W · 141 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae0…b747backed Yes	10c	404.94$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes	27c	388.21$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.82	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes	13c	386.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.31	294	23.5%69 W · 225 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-43%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcffe…146dbacked Yes	17c	365.86$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.93	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Yes	43c	329.02$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes	11c	300$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e4…4d33backed Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-78%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes	3c	300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x504f…6facbacked Yes	7c	280.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	73c	273$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.05	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	4c	271.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	119	24.4%29 W · 90 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No	67c	262.53$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.16	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed Yes	19c	260$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.22	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	76c	248.06$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.32	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	27c	237.84$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.9	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9842…5ac8backed Yes	13c	236.04$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Yes	47c	230.01$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11b9…d361backed No	70c	228.04$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.88	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	27c	211.84$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.78	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae83…2bafbacked Yes	15c	201.34$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb413…adc3backed Yes	13c	195.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked No	51c	194.74$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd290…ac52backed Yes	20c	166.2$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	68c	163.71$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.35	108	30.6%33 W · 75 L	-13.9wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	71c	163.64$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.46	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No	70c	159.89$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.22	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	9c	152.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.01	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65d…b385backed No	74c	150.85$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.75	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30f…a161backed Yes	47c	150$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.85	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes	23c	149.1$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.29	233	21.5%50 W · 183 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-34%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf400…1620backed No	66c	148.56$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.07	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Yes	46c	143.84$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.02	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes	24c	143$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8533…7c76backed Yes	28c	141.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes	29c	141$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.89	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1583…bddebacked No	71c	140.26$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.72	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Yes	29c	137$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.73	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	42cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda00…61b4backed Yes	11c	135.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa297…6a6ebacked Yes	19c	132.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	70c	128.76$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.31	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdba1…d0e5backed Yes	37c	121.79$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.77	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	35c	120.65$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	31c	119.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58bb…a539backed Yes	27c	109.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d9…e296backed Yes	31c	108.06$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	34c	104.84$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.46	231	30.3%70 W · 161 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7790…427abacked Yes	29c	104.07$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x905f…3328backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095b…8a05backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	25c	99.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.89	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes	18c	96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…87eebacked Yes	29c	82.41$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9965…7a82backed Yes	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Yes	49c	79.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.52	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes	31c	76.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x605a…31c1backed Yes	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	28c	74.84$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	154	9.7%15 W · 139 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes	29c	72.4$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes	29c	68.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ce…2fa6backed No	50c	63.66$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba9f…87acbacked Yes	18c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37df…f8b9backed No	69c	58.06$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed Yes	20c	57.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-46%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf9…d43abacked Yes	24c	56.36$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?this page
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?No won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?No won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?No won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event