Movies · resolved market
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a2eac2e77e705613c6f5a917e34c3f85186ddd676d4d455400c9e6aead6b2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9951…11bdbacked Yes | 23c | 10,875$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 75c | 9,500$7,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…a2c5backed Yes | 0c | 7,366$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 31c | 6,474$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.95 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 1c | 3,221$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 13c | 2,724$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 2,646$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed No | 72c | 2,372$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.65 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,043$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 6c | 2,030$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 1,941$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.26 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 75c | 1,000$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 35c | 985.76$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 980.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…7195backed Yes | 16c | 593.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 62c | 568.43$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 2c | 540.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…5b42backed No | 80c | 516.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 513.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…314bbacked Yes | 7c | 513.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 76c | 500$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 14c | 496.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 490$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 62c | 435.89$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.02 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90f…ea7abacked Yes | 23c | 432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6883…b69bbacked Yes | 8c | 428.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b136backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 79c | 398.03$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…b747backed Yes | 11c | 394.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0552…0cb5backed Yes | 14c | 351.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 13c | 349.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 347.96$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…042ebacked Yes | 15c | 342.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 16c | 336.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 321.56$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…c340backed Yes | 9c | 320.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed No | 65c | 313.8$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…46c3backed Yes | 13c | 309.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…3020backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 274.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…31c1backed Yes | 32c | 268.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 15c | 260$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…1398backed Yes | 9c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…9aacbacked No | 71c | 247.89$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 9c | 237.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 31c | 219$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 216.11$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 6c | 213.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 15c | 211.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 210.34$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…adc3backed Yes | 19c | 209.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 29c | 208$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…4d33backed Yes | 9c | 206$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed Yes | 14c | 193.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 71c | 185$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 11c | 179.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…5ac8backed Yes | 20c | 175.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Yes | 29c | 173$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 77c | 160$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 78c | 144.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 22c | 143$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…87acbacked Yes | 28c | 141.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…8eb0backed Yes | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…60b9backed Yes | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 15c | 119.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 22c | 118$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 117.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…07a3backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 14c | 89.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 64c | 87.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 69c | 86.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…d338backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…49d7backed Yes | 30c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Yes | 16c | 70.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…f229backed Yes | 23c | 67.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 26c | 64.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…d0e5backed No | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 65c | 54.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d43abacked Yes | 23c | 53.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 76c | 47.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0a…2f0cbacked Yes | 25c | 46.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +276.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 70c | 37.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 65c | 36.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 66c | 36.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…9999backed No | 70c | 34.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 79c | 33.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…28f8backed Yes | 33c | 30.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?this page
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.