Movies · resolved market
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2571423911bc008d1a122f2983e2fa7a591f9470c67343469c2126366a72f93b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 2,412$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.71 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 16c | 2,300$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.53 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 13c | 1,712$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…314bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,669$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…8220backed Yes | 28c | 1,534$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 2c | 1,459$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 3c | 1,391$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 67c | 1,056$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.58 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Yes | 2c | 1,027$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 1,001$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.33 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…3020backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…3405backed Yes | 3c | 733.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 4c | 672.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…f8c5backed Yes | 13c | 656.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 634.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 78c | 600$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 65c | 542.81$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…151ebacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 40c | 475$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 10c | 450$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 404.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee9…a2d7backed Yes | 25c | 397.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 80c | 387.88$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 303.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…adc3backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…5ac8backed Yes | 12c | 253.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 25c | 250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 26c | 249.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd290…ac52backed Yes | 15c | 203.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…07bcbacked Yes | 13c | 171.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 61c | 163.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 147$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…6cacbacked Yes | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 12c | 146.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 24c | 143$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 65c | 128.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998b…db96backed Yes | 11c | 125.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 65c | 125.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d9…e296backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…5fc4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…b550backed Yes | 12c | 99.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed No | 61c | 87.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 19c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…78babacked Yes | 38c | 86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed Yes | 19c | 84.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 19c | 78.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…d0e5backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 76c | 70.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 59c | 57.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 36c | 56.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cd…fa5ebacked Yes | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2a2cbacked No | 71c | 47.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 24c | 45.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…ebcabacked Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 36c | 38.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…7a5abacked No | 74c | 34.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 79c | 33.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed No | 64c | 25.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…746abacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 24.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed No | 63c | 21.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 74c | 19.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…66f7backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…c66bbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?this page
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.