MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ab9afc75a1ca98221b57ff88541e8d5b78dc0f61f6cb65eca3b69dcba7abc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,335,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,438,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,335,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Yankees | 46c | 868,451$403,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403,487.53 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Phillies | 53c | 313,743$167,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,972.62 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 53c | 110,404$58,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,159.89 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 54c | 109,927$58,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,932.03 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 53c | 71,991$38,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,615.86 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees | 49c | 50,220$24,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,607.58 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 54c | 40,208$21,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,495.59 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Phillies | 54c | 40,000$21,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,600 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 54c | 33,707$18,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,505.22 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yankees | 51c | 31,557$16,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,066.42 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 51c | 30,222$15,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,808.78 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Phillies | 54c | 28,472$15,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,097.35 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 53c | 25,374$13,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,898.43 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Phillies | 54c | 22,201$11,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,212.46 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies | 54c | 21,743$11,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,001.78 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Phillies | 53c | 20,463$10,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,617.68 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 54c | 18,908$10,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,697.89 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 54c | 15,438$8,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,171.66 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 53c | 15,200$8,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,082 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 54c | 11,710$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.28 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…61ebbacked Phillies | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 48c | 8,210$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.65 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Phillies | 55c | 6,344$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.43 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Phillies | 54c | 5,654$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.84 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yankees | 2c | 5,343$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yankees | 3c | 5,086$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 56c | 5,083$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.74 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 53c | 5,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9983…7fc7backed Yankees | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 52c | 4,150$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Phillies | 53c | 4,005$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.43 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 54c | 3,984$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.45 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yankees | 46c | 3,653$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.39 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Phillies | 54c | 3,350$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c0…759abacked Yankees | 45c | 3,335$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yankees | 1c | 2,721$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yankees | 46c | 2,717$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Phillies | 67c | 2,693$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.59 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Yankees | 46c | 2,547$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.6 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Yankees | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…b98ebacked Yankees | 3c | 2,383$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…f570backed Yankees | 45c | 2,220$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 52c | 2,087$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.54 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Phillies | 54c | 2,069$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.52 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 1c | 2,002$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Phillies | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Phillies | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.74 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 53c | 1,944$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.24 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 54c | 1,860$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Yankees | 22c | 1,859$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.47 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Phillies | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yankees | 46c | 1,777$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.23 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yankees | 46c | 1,760$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.46 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 57c | 1,652$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yankees | 45c | 1,595$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.81 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Phillies | 51c | 1,504$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.92 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yankees | 47c | 1,480$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.6 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 50c | 1,413$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 40c | 1,235$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.5 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Yankees | 45c | 1,188$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.6 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yankees | 38c | 1,152$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.72 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Phillies | 54c | 1,075$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 1c | 1,023$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yankees | 16c | 1,000$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Yankees | 23c | 995.03$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.92 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yankees | 38c | 985.37$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.44 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Yankees | 45c | 777$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Phillies | 52c | 768.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.06 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Phillies | 54c | 642.59$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.59 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 51c | 577.45$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.95 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yankees | 49c | 511.31$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.54 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Yankees | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yankees | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Phillies | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1,156.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Phillies | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Phillies | 51c | 484$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.16 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yankees | 47c | 463.15$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.68 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Yankees | 19c | 455$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Phillies | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Phillies | 54c | 440.74$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Phillies | 54c | 436$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.56 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Phillies | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yankees | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Yankees | 47c | 424.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 80c | 419.06$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Yankees | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Yankees | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Yankees | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Yankees | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Yankees | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Yankees | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Phillies | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Phillies | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Phillies | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…4847backed Yankees | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…8717backed Yankees | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6d…fca4backed Phillies | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.