Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Fartcoin reach $1.80 before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df3c1bd9bc3737373b46bd8df24e1a2b4307cc19e586f4f1f20559a0f8a4f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 2c | 20,183$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.93 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 6c | 629.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 2c | 590.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 10c | 344$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…b066backed No | 72c | 319.39$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…1499backed Yes | 20c | 170$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…cd5dbacked No | 77c | 138$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 28c | 90.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 25c | 81.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 37c | 35.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…f89cbacked Yes | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 72c | 29.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 77c | 25.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fartcoin reach $1.80 before June?this page
- Will Fartcoin dip to $0.20 before June?No won
- Will Fartcoin dip to $0.40 before June?No won
- Will Fartcoin dip to $0.60 before June?No won
- Will Fartcoin dip to $0.75 before June?No won
- Will Fartcoin dip to $0.85 before June?No won
- Will Fartcoin dip to $0.90 before June?No won
- Will Fartcoin reach $1.50 before June?Yes won
- Will Fartcoin reach $2.00 before June?No won
- Will Fartcoin reach $2.50 before June?No won
- Will Fartcoin reach $3.00 before June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.